How many SpaceX launches in May?

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This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

14 or moreRussian Media99%match1¢-100%
SpaceX launched the largest rocket in human history tonight. The 124-meter Starship V3 is a colossus as tall as a 40-story building and has a thrust of almost 8,000 tons. It is more powerful than the legendary Saturn V, which carried people to the Moon, and NASA's newest lunar rocket, the SLS. This is not a flight to Mars yet, just a test. But Starship is being created specifically for the colonization of the Red Planet. According to calculations, the ship can already deliver up to 100 tons of cargo there in a single flight - from equipment to future colonists. The main problem is that returning back is almost impossible. While humanity can already fly to Mars, lifting a rocket from the planet's surface and sending it back is not yet possible. That is why SpaceX is betting on methane. It can theoretically be produced right on Mars from water and carbon dioxide. In the future, robots may be sent there first to build factories and prepare fuel for humans. The flight itself will take about an hour. Two and a half minutes after liftoff, the first stage will separate and splash down in the Gulf of Mexico. The ship will then fly over the Atlantic and Africa, before landing in the Indian Ocean. Photos and videos not loading? Read us on MAX.
14 or morenbcnews.com99%match1¢-100%
SpaceX launches its biggest, most beefed-up Starship yet on a test flight
12French Media99%match67¢-100%
SpaceX postpones the twelfth test flight of its Starship mega-rocket, at the heart of American lunar ambitions in the face of China
≤8marketnews_feed99%match98¢+2%
SPACEX WILL ATTEMPT ITS TWELFTH STARSHIP TEST FLIGHT ON FRIDAY, MAY 22, WITH THE LAUNCH WINDOW OPENING AT 5:30 P.M. CT FOR 90 MINUTES. ...
9marketnews_feed99%match72¢+39%
SPACEX WILL ATTEMPT ITS TWELFTH STARSHIP TEST FLIGHT ON FRIDAY, MAY 22, WITH THE LAUNCH WINDOW OPENING AT 5:30 P.M. CT FOR 90 MINUTES. ...
10marketnews_feed99%match80¢+25%
SPACEX WILL ATTEMPT ITS TWELFTH STARSHIP TEST FLIGHT ON FRIDAY, MAY 22, WITH THE LAUNCH WINDOW OPENING AT 5:30 P.M. CT FOR 90 MINUTES. ...
≤8redboxwire99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
9redboxwire99%match72¢+39%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
10redboxwire99%match80¢+25%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
14 or moreredboxwire99%match1¢-100%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
≤8firstsquawk99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
9firstsquawk99%match72¢+39%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
10firstsquawk99%match80¢+25%
SpaceX will attempt its twelfth Starship test flight on Friday, May 22, with the launch window opening at 5:30 p.m. CT for 90 minutes.
≤8Reuters99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX: Twelfth Flight Test of Starship is Preparing to Launch Friday, May 22, the 90-Minute Launch Window Will Open at 5:30 P.M. CT.
9Reuters99%match72¢+39%
SpaceX: Twelfth Flight Test of Starship is Preparing to Launch Friday, May 22, the 90-Minute Launch Window Will Open at 5:30 P.M. CT.
10Reuters99%match80¢+25%
SpaceX: Twelfth Flight Test of Starship is Preparing to Launch Friday, May 22, the 90-Minute Launch Window Will Open at 5:30 P.M. CT.
9redboxwire98%match28¢-100%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
10redboxwire98%match20¢-100%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
13redboxwire98%match90¢+11%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
14 or moreredboxwire98%match99¢+1%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
9firstsquawk98%match28¢-100%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
13firstsquawk98%match90¢+11%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
14 or morefirstsquawk98%match99¢+1%
SpaceX scrubs high-stakes test launch of latest Starship spacecraft-FT
≤8afp.com99%match2¢-100%
SpaceX postpones highly anticipated Starship launch
9afp.com99%match28¢-100%
SpaceX postpones highly anticipated Starship launch
12iranintlbrk99%match67¢-100%
SpaceX canceled the 12th Starship launch from Texas at the last minute and announced that it will make the next launch attempt on Friday.
10iranintlbrk99%match80¢+25%
SpaceX canceled the 12th Starship launch from Texas at the last minute and announced that it will make the next launch attempt on Friday.
14 or moreReuters99%match1¢-100%
SpaceX: Will Give Starship Launch Another Try on Friday
12afp.com99%match67¢-100%
ALERT: SpaceX postpones highly anticipated Starship launch: livestream
≤8afp.com99%match2¢-100%
ALERT: SpaceX postpones highly anticipated Starship launch: livestream

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

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