FL-22 Republican Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes13as of

This hub tracks 13 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Casey Askar100%
Candidate E0%
Other0%
David Burck0%
Michael Carbonara0%
Richard Evans0%
Terri Hasdorff0%
Belinda Keiser0%
Michael Thompson0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate D0%

What moved the odds?

19 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Casey Askarms.now98%match100¢
Live: Casey Askar projected to win GOP nod in Florida’s 22nd House District
Casey AskarPunchbowl Reporter99%match100¢
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • It was a pricey primary. Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Belinda KeiserPunchbowl Reporter98%match100¢
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • It was a pricey primary. Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Casey AskarPunchbowl Reporter98%match100¢
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Belinda KeiserPunchbowl Reporter98%match100¢
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Casey Askarcnn.com98%match100¢
Live: Casey Askar will win Republican primary for Florida’s redrawn 22nd District, CNN projects
Casey AskarReuters98%match100¢
Casey Askar Wins Republican Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 22 - AP Projects
Casey AskarAPws98%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Casey Askar wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 22nd Congressional District
Casey Askarapnews.com98%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Casey Askar wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District
Casey AskarReuters98%match98¢+2%
Casey Askar Wins Republican Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 22 - NBC News Projects
Casey AskarReuters98%match98¢+2%
Casey Askar Wins Republican Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 22 - Ddhq Projects
Casey AskarDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match93¢+8%
Decision Desk HQ projects Casey Askar wins the Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:34 PM EDT
Casey AskarDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match85¢+18%
Decision Desk HQ projects Casey Askar wins the Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:34 PM EDT
Casey AskarDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match65¢+54%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 51% in): Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • Casey Askar (R): 7,550 (30.5%) • Belinda Keiser (R): 4,910 (19.9%) • Michael Carbonara (R): 4,843 (19.6%) • David Burck (R): 3,784 (15.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
David BurckDecision Desk (DDHQ)93%match93¢+8%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 51% in): Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • Casey Askar (R): 7,550 (30.5%) • Belinda Keiser (R): 4,910 (19.9%) • Michael Carbonara (R): 4,843 (19.6%) • David Burck (R): 3,784 (15.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
Michael CarbonaraDecision Desk (DDHQ)93%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 51% in): Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • Casey Askar (R): 7,550 (30.5%) • Belinda Keiser (R): 4,910 (19.9%) • Michael Carbonara (R): 4,843 (19.6%) • David Burck (R): 3,784 (15.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
Belinda KeiserDecision Desk (DDHQ)96%match90¢+11%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 51% in): Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • Casey Askar (R): 7,550 (30.5%) • Belinda Keiser (R): 4,910 (19.9%) • Michael Carbonara (R): 4,843 (19.6%) • David Burck (R): 3,784 (15.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
Michael Carbonaradbws.io91%match55¢-100%
Trump Hispanic Advisory Council Member and MAGA Faith Leader Apostle Mario Bramnick Endorses Michael Carbonara for Congress in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District
Michael Carbonaradbws.io95%match57¢-100%
Trump-Endorsed Congressman ‘MAGA’ Jim Jordan Endorses Michael Carbonara for Congress in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related events