FL-22 Republican Primary WinnerBelinda Keiser
ResolvedOutcome: No$18Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • It was a pricey primary. Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Where does the news lean?
0YES3NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for FL-22 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.