FL-22 Republican Primary WinnerCasey Askar
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$22Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Casey Askar projected to win GOP nod in Florida’s 22nd House District
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • It was a pricey primary. Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Casey Askar wins the Republican primary in Florida's 22nd district, which was redrawn to lean red and is currently represented by Democrat Rep. Lois Frankel. • • Askar loaned his own campaign $2.5 million, according to FEC data. One of Askar's opponents, Belinda Keiser, loaned her own campaign $3.5 million.
Live: Casey Askar will win Republican primary for Florida’s redrawn 22nd District, CNN projects
YESReuters98%match100¢
Casey Askar Wins Republican Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 22 - AP Projects
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WASHINGTON (AP) — Casey Askar wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 22nd Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Casey Askar wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
Casey Askar Wins Republican Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 22 - NBC News Projects
YESReuters98%match98¢+2%
Casey Askar Wins Republican Nomination for Florida’s U.S. House District 22 - Ddhq Projects
Decision Desk HQ projects Casey Askar wins the Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:34 PM EDT
Decision Desk HQ projects Casey Askar wins the Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:34 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 51% in): Florida US House 22 Republican Primary • • Casey Askar (R): 7,550 (30.5%) • Belinda Keiser (R): 4,910 (19.9%) • Michael Carbonara (R): 4,843 (19.6%) • David Burck (R): 3,784 (15.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
12YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for FL-22 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.