Fed Decision in September?
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The US Federal Reserve has decided to raise interest rates by 0.25%, the first time in 3 years and 2 months.
The US Federal Reserve raised its policy interest rate by 0.25%, the first increase in approximately 3 years and 2 months.
Live: Stocks closed lower for the day, with the S&P 500 off 0.4 percent, the Nasdaq Composite inching lower and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 1 percent. The move comes lower in stocks came as investors priced in higher interest rates, with investors now anticipating three further quarter point interest rate increases through 2027. The two-year Treasury yield, which is sensitive to change in interest rates, rose 0.6 percentage points. Importantly, Warsh’s commitment, and follow-through, to tackle inflation helped cool worries of rising prices becoming embedded for the long-term. The 30-year Treasury yield nudged lower to 5.35 percent.
Increasing interest rates in the US The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent; this is the first interest rate increase since 2023. Immediately, $490 billion in the value of US stocks was lost in just 25 minutes. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Economy / The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 25 basis points
US interest rate hike The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent. This is the first interest rate hike since 2023. Instantly, $490 billion in US stock market value was wiped out in just 25 minutes. @YjcNewsChannel
The US Federal Reserve decides to raise interest rates by 25 basis points to combat inflation.
US interest rate hike The US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 3.75 to 4 percent. This is the first interest rate hike since 2023. Instantly, $490 billion in US stock value was wiped out in just 25 minutes.
@tasnimnews
US interest rates increased by 25 basis points The Federal Reserve increased interest rates as expected by the market. Now investors are looking to Kevin Warsh's press conference to see what he has to say about the future path of interest rates. The Federal Reserve press conference will be held at 10:00 PM Iranian time. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
The Federal Reserve has decided to raise interest rates by 0.25% for the first time in 3 years and 2 months to address inflation.
Cailian Press reported on September 17 that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark interest rate to 3.75%-4.00%.
Cailian Press reported on September 17 that the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the benchmark interest rate to 3.75%-4.00%.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF A 25BP FED HIKE TODAY ARE AT 86% • • No change sits at 14%. The FOMC decision comes this afternoon. • • The contract traded near 52% on September 4 and crossed 79% last Thursday.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF A 25BP FED HIKE IN SEPTEMBER JUMP TO 79% • • No change sits at 23%. The contract moved sharply this morning, from around 60% for most of the prior session. The FOMC meets September 15-16.
POLYMARKET ODDS OF A 25BP FED HIKE IN SEPTEMBER CLIMB TO 61% • • No change sits at 42%. The contract moved sharply this morning after August PPI came in slightly hotter than expected on the headline. The FOMC meets September 15-16.
Reuters Poll-U.S. Federal Reserve to Hold Fed Funds Rate at 3.50%-3.75% in September, Said 65 of 93 Economists (Versus 94 of 104 Economists in August Poll)
Reuters Poll-U.S. Federal Reserve to Hold Fed Funds Rate at 3.50%-3.75% in September, Said 65 of 93 Economists (Versus 94 of 104 Economists in August Poll)
Reuters Poll-U.S. Federal Reserve to Hold Fed Funds Rate at 3.50%-3.75% in September, Said 65 of 93 Economists (Versus 94 of 104 Economists in August Poll)
Polymarket traders project the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in September. • • 55% chance of a 0.25% increase.
Polymarket traders project the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in September. • • 55% chance of a 0.25% increase.
Polymarket traders project the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates in September. • • 55% chance of a 0.25% increase.
Bisent challenges the bond market, and Washington faces a 5.25% test. An unusual battle is brewing in the US bond market: The Treasury is preparing to expand its bond repurchase operations after the 30-year yield approached 5.25%, nearing its highest level since 2007. On the other hand, inflation data may push markets to strengthen bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike on September 16, after the probability of a 0.25 percentage point increase reached nearly 60%. If the Fed tries to raise rates while the Treasury tries to curb long-term yields, who will ultimately prevail: Washington or the bond market? @maykhadra_bn #Arabic_Business
FED RATE HIKE ODDS CLIMB AS TRUMP TURNS UP PRESSURE • • Markets are leaning toward a 25bps Fed rate hike in September, with Kalshi pricing the probability at 52%, versus 48% for no change. • • The shift comes as President Trump ramps up pressure on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to cut rates, arguing higher borrowing costs threaten growth. • • With the decision approaching, inflation data could be the deciding factor. •
FED RATE HIKE ODDS CLIMB AS TRUMP TURNS UP PRESSURE • • Markets are leaning toward a 25bps Fed rate hike in September, with Kalshi pricing the probability at 52%, versus 48% for no change. • • The shift comes as President Trump ramps up pressure on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to cut rates, arguing higher borrowing costs threaten growth. • • With the decision approaching, inflation data could be the deciding factor. •
UBS Expects The Fed To Hike In September & December, Vs. Unchanged Previously • • UBS has changed its Fed rate call. Chief US economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to raise rates on Sept. 16 by 25bp to a range of 3.75-4.00%, and then to raise again on Dec. 9 to 4.00-4.25%. Jonathan’s decision to change his call from unchanged at both meetings relates to both Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and then last Friday’s strong 162k payrolls report. Jonathan notes that very much depends on August CPI this Friday coming. He also noted that knowledge of Warsh’s reaction function continues to evolve.
UBS Expects The Fed To Hike In September & December, Vs. Unchanged Previously • • UBS has changed its Fed rate call. Chief US economist Jonathan Pingle expects the Fed to raise rates on Sept. 16 by 25bp to a range of 3.75-4.00%, and then to raise again on Dec. 9 to 4.00-4.25%. Jonathan’s decision to change his call from unchanged at both meetings relates to both Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and then last Friday’s strong 162k payrolls report. Jonathan notes that very much depends on August CPI this Friday coming. He also noted that knowledge of Warsh’s reaction function continues to evolve.
UBS Global Wealth Management Expects US Fed to Deliver 25 Bp Rate Hikes Each in September and December 2026 vs Prior Forecast of No Policy Change
Fed September Rate Hike Odds Fall Back to 50% Coin Flip, CME FedWatch Shows. • Expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike have swung sharply as investors respond to conflicting signals from Fed o
Macquarie Expects US Fed to Hike Interest Rates by 25 Bps in September 2026 vs Prior Forecast of a Hike in December
Will the Fed raise interest rates this month? Experts say Trump's pressure to cut rates actually strengthens the possibility of a September rate hike.
What is this event about?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.