Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

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This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

YESN12 Reporter98%match2¢-100%
Judge Stein: Why is the letter from the head of the Mossad relevant?
NOnypost.com99%match99¢+1%
Epstein had dirt on ‘only one person’ but didn’t have ties to CIA or Mossad and wasn’t a pedophile, Dershowitz says
YESzerohedge98%match11¢-100%
Massie Exposes Les Wexner As Epstein Co-Conspirator, Opening Door To Criminal Charges Against Kash Patel
NOReuters98%match90¢+11%
Ghislaine Maxwell refuses to answer questions at congressional deposition, lawmakers say
NOPOLITICO98%match89¢+12%
Ghislaine Maxwell pleads the Fifth in House Oversight Epstein investigation
NOReuters98%match90¢+11%
Ghislaine Maxwell won't answer questions during congressional deposition, lawmaker says

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if previously unreleased evidence definitively confirming that either Jeffrey Epstein or Ghislaine Maxwell were Mossad operatives is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market ‘operative’ includes any direct involvement in assisting or providing information to Mossad. Official confirmation from the Trump administration or the Israeli government will qualify as definitive evidence. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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