Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

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Colombia is preparing for the upcoming presidential elections on May 31, with Iván Cepeda emerging as a frontrunner in the polls. One of the political forces gaining strength is the alliance between Cepeda and Aída Quilcué, which is showing increasing support according to various polls conducted among Colombians ahead of the presidential elections.
Candidate Paloma Valencia failed to disclose the intelligence information she received regarding the alleged attack against her. The attack was fabricated; it was a dispute between criminals, one with a debt, who falsely accused the other, the creditor, of the attack. This was the information provided to the candidate, but she presented a different version on her social media.
Iván Cepeda, of the Historical Pact, leads the polls in Colombia's presidential elections with 36 percent. Abelardo De la Espriella and Paloma Valencia follow, but 50 percent plus one is needed to win in the first round. Find more information on our website:
Iván Cepeda leads presidential polls in Colombia Iván Cepeda, presidential candidate for the Historical Pact, the party of current Colombian President Gustavo Petro, consolidates his first place in voting intention with 44.3%, his best result in this campaign, according to a recent Invamer poll. The polling firm indicated that Cepeda's support rose 7.2 percentage points since February. Abelardo de la Espriella, of the far-right movement Defenders of the Homeland, remains in second place with 21.5%, followed by Paloma Valencia, of the right-wing opposition party Democratic Center, with 19.8%. The poll forecasts suggest that, in a potential runoff election, Cepeda would win against both De la Espriella (54.6% to 42.6%) and Valencia (51.2% to 46.6%). The survey was conducted among 3,826 people between April 15 and 24, with a margin of error of 2%.
Iván Cepeda, the candidate for the Historical Pact, is positioned as the favorite for the presidential elections in Colombia, obtaining 35% of the vote intention according to the latest polls from the National Consulting Center (CNC). The elections are scheduled for May 31. For a complete analysis of the results and the electoral landscape, visit our article on the website.
Iván Cepeda, the candidate for the Historical Pact, is positioned as the favorite for the presidential elections in Colombia, obtaining 35% of the vote intention according to the latest polls from the National Consulting Center (CNC). The elections are scheduled for May 31. For a complete analysis of the results and the electoral landscape, visit our article on the website.
Iván Cepeda lidera las encuestas presidenciales con un 35% de intención de voto, aunque la senadora Paloma Valencia muestra un notable ascenso. La posibilidad de una segunda vuelta el 21 de junio es alta. • • Conoce los detalles y el panorama completo de las elecciones en: •
Iván Cepeda leads the presidential polls with 35% of the vote, although Senator Paloma Valencia is showing a notable rise. The possibility of a runoff election on June 21 is high. Learn the details and the full picture of the elections at:
Iván Cepeda leads the presidential polls with 35% of the vote, although Senator Paloma Valencia is showing a notable rise. The possibility of a runoff election on June 21 is high. Learn the details and the full picture of the elections at:
Iván Cepeda CastroBloomberg98%match64¢-100%
Colombia’s dollar bonds fell across the curve on Thursday and the peso led emerging-market losses after a new poll showed leftist Senator Iván Cepeda with a wide lead in the race for the presidency.
Abelardo de la EspriellaFirst Squawk99%match19¢+426%
COLOMBIA’S TWO TOP PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES — CONSERVATIVE LAWYER ABELARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA AND LEFTIST SENATOR IVÁN CEPEDA — ARE STATISTICALLY TIED IN THE LATEST POLL AHEAD OF ELECTION DAY ON MAY 31.
Gustavo BolívarFirst Squawk98%match98¢+2%
COLOMBIA’S TWO TOP PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES — CONSERVATIVE LAWYER ABELARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA AND LEFTIST SENATOR IVÁN CEPEDA — ARE STATISTICALLY TIED IN THE LATEST POLL AHEAD OF ELECTION DAY ON MAY 31.
Sergio FajardoFirst Squawk98%match99¢+1%
COLOMBIA’S TWO TOP PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES — CONSERVATIVE LAWYER ABELARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA AND LEFTIST SENATOR IVÁN CEPEDA — ARE STATISTICALLY TIED IN THE LATEST POLL AHEAD OF ELECTION DAY ON MAY 31.
Iván Cepeda CastroFirst Squawk98%match64¢-100%
COLOMBIA’S TWO TOP PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES — CONSERVATIVE LAWYER ABELARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA AND LEFTIST SENATOR IVÁN CEPEDA — ARE STATISTICALLY TIED IN THE LATEST POLL AHEAD OF ELECTION DAY ON MAY 31.
Gustavo BolívarBloomberg98%match98¢+2%
Colombia’s two top presidential candidates — conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and leftist senator Iván Cepeda — are statistically tied in the latest poll ahead of Election Day on May 31.
Iván Cepeda CastroBloomberg99%match54¢-100%
Colombian leftist candidate Iván Cepeda led voters’ preferences for May’s presidential election according to a poll published on Sunday, consolidating his status as a main contender.
Abelardo de la EspriellaFirst Squawk99%match26¢+285%
CONSERVATIVE LAWYER ABELARDO DE LA ESPRIELLA LEADS THE POLLS AHEAD OF COLOMBIA’S MAY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION WITH 28% SUPPORT, ACCORDING TO AN ATLASINTEL POLL CONDUCTED FOR SEMANA AND PUBLISHED ON SATURDAY.
Abelardo de la EspriellaBloomberg99%match26¢+285%
Conservative lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella leads the polls ahead of Colombia’s May presidential election with 28% support, according to an AtlasIntel poll conducted for Semana and published on Saturday.

What is this event about?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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