CO-08 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes22as of

This hub tracks 22 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Manny RutinelWaPo Reporter99%match29¢-100%
#CO08 Democratic primary — EMILY's List, which supports Shannon Bird, goes negative against Manny Rutinel in a new TV ad:
Shannon BirdWaPo Reporter99%match20¢-100%
#CO08 Democratic primary — EMILY's List, which supports Shannon Bird, goes negative against Manny Rutinel in a new TV ad:
#CO08 Dem primary ad news: Shannon Bird is going negative on Manny Rutinel in a new $100,000 ad buy. • • The ad accuses Rutinel of voting for Medicaid budget cuts while voting to raise his own pay. • • "Manny Rutinel's pictures look better than his record" •
Shannon BirdPunchbowl Reporter99%match22¢-100%
#CO08 Dem primary ad news: Shannon Bird is going negative on Manny Rutinel in a new $100,000 ad buy. • • The ad accuses Rutinel of voting for Medicaid budget cuts while voting to raise his own pay. • • "Manny Rutinel's pictures look better than his record" •
This anti-Shannon Bird website is making the rounds in the Dem CO-08 primary - “ICE’s favorite Democrat” • • Paid for by the “Progress Action Fund”
Things heating up in #CO08 primary >>> Manny Rutinel airing new ad against Shannon Bird on ICE •
Shannon Birdpunchbowlnews99%match93¢+8%
NEWS: Colorado state Rep. Manny Rutinel’s campaign is launching a $50,000 digital ad buy hitting Shannon Bird as the Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th District heats up. • • @maxpcohen has the details: •
#CO08 primary update: Manny Rutinel’s campaign says Shannon Bird is dropping out of the assembly process to get on the ballot. Bird can still get on ballot w/signatures • • Here’s comment from Rutinel campaign manager Clay Volino

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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