CA-07 Primary Winners
Resolved6as of
This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
The redbox (how campaigns signal to PACs) on Rep. Doris Matsui's website appears to have been updated to promote one of the Republicans running against her in #CA07, Zachariah Wooden. • • Likely geared towards making sure progressive Mai Vang doesn't make it to the runoff.
The redbox (how campaigns signal to PACs) on Rep. Doris Matsui's website appears to have been updated to promote one of the Republicans running against her in #CA07, Zachariah Wooden. • • Likely geared towards making sure progressive Mai Vang doesn't make it to the runoff.
The redbox (how campaigns signal to PACs) on Rep. Doris Matsui's website appears to have been updated to promote one of the Republicans running against her in #CA07, Zachariah Wooden. • • Likely geared towards making sure progressive Mai Vang doesn't make it to the runoff.
What is this event about?
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.