AP calls the Senate

OpenOutcomes10as of

Market pricing makes January 4, 11:59 PM the favorite at 98% across 10 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

January 4, 11:59 PM98%
December 2, 11:59 PM88%
November 18, 11:59 PM86%
November 13, 11:59 PM82%
November 6, 11:59 PM74%
November 3, 11:59 PM57%
November 4, 11:59 PM57%
November 4, 12:59 AM55%
November 3, 10:59 PM42%
November 4, 3:59 AM42%

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.

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