Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

May 31New Statesman Reporter99%match83¢+20%
Afzal Khan really couldn't be clearer that he won't be standing down for Andy Burnham. • • "There is no question of me resigning," he tells the NS. "I keep telling everyone that. I don't know where these rumours are coming from."
May 31guidofawkes99%match17¢-100%
RAYNER says closed-doors meeting with Andy Burnham also included ex-minister Jim McMahon.
May 31ITV Reporter98%match17¢-100%
Just to add to the rife speculation, when I interviewed Angela Rayner she admitted that she had met with Andy Burnham last Friday (though absolutely denied a deal had been done). • • Who else was there? The Oldham MP Jim McMahon, she told me. The mind boggles.
May 31bbc.co.uk99%match19¢-100%
Andy Burnham has pulled out of regular BBC slot on Thursday
May 31telegraph.co.uk99%match82¢+22%
Labour MP denies preparing to step down to allow Burnham to stand in by-election
May 31bbc.co.uk99%match76¢+32%
Labour MP denies he is prepared to give up seat for Andy Burnham
May 31news.sky.com99%match83¢+20%
Manchester MP at centre of Burnham speculation denies plans to stand down
May 31guidofawkes99%match94¢+6%
ANDY BURNHAM will try to return to the Commons by taking Afzal Khan’s Manchester Rusholme seat. • • Khan has previously denied he would give up the seat.
May 31politlcsuk99%match6¢-100%
NEW: Andy Burnham will reportedly stand in Manchester Rusholme for his return to Parliament • • The current MP Afzhal Khan has not explicitly denied the rumour tonight • • [@thetimes]
May 31news.sky.com99%match6¢-100%
Watch: Transport secretary repeatedly asked whether she wants Burnham back in parliament
May 31theipaper99%match22¢-100%
Greater Manchester Mayor has found a parliamentary seat, and could move as soon as Thursday • • Caroline Wheeler reports • • Read more:
May 31BBC Reporter99%match86¢+16%
The Northern Powerhouse Rail Bill notes feature an interesting endorsement from Andy Burnham, reflecting the view that the Government remains “open” to his long standing demand for a “Kings Cross of the North” at Manchester Piccadilly (ie an underground station for NPR and HS2 trains)
May 31spectator.com99%match86¢+16%
Claim: ‘Bond markets will ‘have to fall into line’ with Andy Burnham
May 31thetimes.com99%match14¢-100%
Live: Burnham could still be blocked
May 31news.sky.com99%match18¢-100%
Minister refuses to say if Andy Burnham should be allowed to return to Westminster
May 31telegraph.co.uk99%match18¢-100%
Burnham accused of burying skyscraper loan report
May 31thetimes.com99%match24¢-100%
Live: Is resistance to Burnham waning?
May 31New Statesman Reporter99%match75¢+33%
Looking a bit tight for Andy Burnham today as the most talked about seat surrenders are ruled out - Nichols, Marie Rimmer, Peter Dowd. Has anyone checked in on Dan Carden? Of course AB only needs one to agree
May 31theipaper99%match25¢-100%
‘Farage will throw everything at us’: Burnham risks losing a by-election, insiders fear
May 31Bloomberg Reporter98%match26¢-100%
New: Andy Burnham has just dropped out of a second conference this week • • He had been due to speak at an event in Manchester tomorrow - comes after he was spotted in London + reports that he's preparing to meet MPs
May 31inews.co.uk99%match26¢-100%
Exclusive: ‘Farage will throw everything at us’: Burnham risks losing a by-election, insiders fear
May 31bbc.com99%match74¢+35%
Minister who resigned earlier today says she would back Burnham as PM
May 31firstsquawk98%match73¢+37%
LABOUR MP IN SEAT EYED BY BURNHAM ALLIES: SHE WILL NOT STAND ASIDE - GUARDIAN
May 31theguardian.com99%match73¢+37%
Exclusive: Labour MP in seat eyed by Burnham allies says she will not stand aside
May 31telegraph.co.uk99%match21¢-100%
My premiership won’t bring down the economy, Burnham assures bond markets
May 31marketnews_feed99%match80¢+25%
LABOUR OFFICIALS ‘BACKING AWAY’ FROM BLOCKING RETURN OF ANDY BURNHAM – POLITICO • ...
May 31politlcsuk98%match20¢-100%
NEW: Andy Burnham has pulled out of a London conference tomorrow morning at the last minute
May 31livesquawk99%match20¢-100%
New: Andy Burnham has just dropped out of a London conference he was due to deliver a speech at tomorrow morning
May 31Bloomberg Reporter99%match20¢-100%
New: Andy Burnham has just dropped out of a London conference he was due to deliver a speech at tomorrow morning
May 31bbc.co.uk99%match20¢-100%
Sadiq Khan: Burnham should be allowed to return to Parliament

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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