Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$436Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
27 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Yabloko party founder Grigory Yavlinsky stated that the party had accomplished the main goal of its election campaign, despite being disqualified from the State Duma elections. His statement was published on the party's website. According to the politician, Yabloko managed to convey to voters a position that differs from the proposals of other campaign participants. Yavlinsky called the Supreme Court's decision to disqualify the party from the elections "unprecedented." However, Yabloko will continue to participate in the 2026 elections. 127 party candidates continue to run for the State Duma in single-mandate constituencies, and party lists have been admitted to elections to the parliaments of the Novgorod, Kaliningrad, Sverdlovsk, Tomsk, and Pskov regions. RBC channel on "Max"
RBC app for iOS and Android [in reply to: The Supreme Court rejected Yabloko's appeal. The decision to disqualify the party from the elections remains in effect. Both the defendant and the plaintiff, the Rodina party, previously filed appeals against the decision. Yabloko told RBC that it will appeal to the Presidium of the Supreme Court in the near future. The hearing was attended by Vladimir Zaitsev, Chairman of the Appellate Board of the Supreme Court, his deputy Igor Zinchenko, and Judge Denis Tyutin. Rodina was represented by its representative, Alexei Novoselov; the Central Election Commission (CEC) was represented by commission representative Sergei Sakharov; Yabloko was represented by party chairman Nikolai Rybakov, its representatives, Yaroslav Shcherbakov and Vitaly Isakov, and lawyer Gadzhi Aliyev. RBK Channel on Max
RBK app for iOS and Android]
The Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its meeting on August 18 – draft agenda
The Russian Central Election Commission will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its meeting on August 18, according to the commission's agenda. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESNews93%match100¢
The Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its meeting on August 18 - draft agenda
The Central Election Commission will consider the issue of removing Yabloko from the ballot at its next meeting, Deputy Chairman of the Central Election Commission Nikolai Bulaev announced. "The ballots have not yet been prepared. They have just been approved, and are being adjusted. After receiving the court's decision, the Central Election Commission will be obliged to amend the ballot. I think we will have to consider this issue at the next CEC meeting in accordance with the court's decision," Bulaev told TASS. As electoral lawyer Oleg Zakharov explained to Vedomosti, if a party list is removed before the ballots are printed, the Central Election Commission will re-approve the ballot form. According to him, if Yabloko drops out, the LDPR, which is running at No. 3, will not become No. 2, since by law the number obtained in the draw is retained until the end of the election campaign. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Yabloko will not participate in the State Duma elections: the decision to deregister the party's federal list has entered into force. Yabloko members plan to file a complaint with the Presidium of the Supreme Court. Yabloko's representative to the Russian Central Election Commission, Ivan Bolshakov, previously told Vedomosti that the party was preparing lawsuits to protect its business reputation against Rodina chairman Alexei Zhuravlev and other leaders of parliamentary parties who "made defamatory statements" against Yabloko. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
The Supreme Court upheld the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the State Duma elections. The court rejected the party's appeal. According to it, the decision to disqualify Yabloko from the elections to the lower house of parliament has entered into force. On August 10, the Supreme Court upheld the administrative claim of the Rodina party and canceled the registration of Yabloko's federal list for the State Duma elections. It was established that this party conducted campaigning in violation of intellectual property laws, and funds were also deposited into its account from individuals who received money through funding from foreign states. Zvezdanews in MAX [in reply to: The Yabloko party was disqualified from the elections to the Russian State Duma. The Russian Supreme Court has upheld the Rodina party's claim. Here's the highlights: The Rodina party filed a lawsuit to deregister the federal list of candidates on Friday. Yabloko was accused of promoting LGBT* rights, extremism, inciting social discord, and violating the rules for compiling the electoral list. At the Supreme Court hearing, a Rodina representative listed materials posted on Yabloko's website and social media that violate election campaigning rules and copyright. What the Rodina representative said: Among the claims: the use of the phrase "Let there always be sunshine, let there always be mom," stills from the 1967 film "War and Peace," images of Dmitry Medvedev, Victoria Bonya, and other AI-generated materials. The party did not identify the authors of the works or cite their sources when publishing them. Also, the Yabloko website posted emblems of other parliamentary parties without the consent of the copyright holders. A number of materials in support of Yabloko were distributed by foreign agents, as well as through foreign social networks, with payment not coming from the election fund. 218 Yabloko State Duma candidates received notices of the absence of foreign assets even before the party congress, thereby violating the law at the nomination and registration stage. Yabloko's campaign expenses significantly exceed established limits for its electoral fund. Yabloko denied the accusations. * — The LGBT movement is recognized as extremist in the Russian Federation and is banned. Video not loading? Watch in MAX]
Russia’s Supreme Court rejects appeal by anti-war Yabloko party against election ban
#BREAKING Russia's Supreme Court rejects the appeal of the anti-war party Yabloko's against the ban on taking part in parliamentary elections next month
YESNews91%match99¢+1%
The decision to deregister the Yabloko party's list of candidates for the State Duma elections has entered into force – the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation.
YESReuters93%match99¢+1%
Russia’s Supreme Court Rejects Anti-War Party Yabloko’s Appeal Against Ban on Taking Part in Parliamentary Elections
YESNews92%match99¢+1%
The Supreme Court of the Russian Federation upheld the decision to remove the Yabloko party from the State Duma elections.
Russia's Supreme Court has barred Yabloko, the only registered party that explicitly calls for an end to the war with Ukraine, from the upcoming State Duma elections.
Russia's Supreme Court has barred Yabloko, the only registered party that explicitly calls for an end to the war with Ukraine, from the upcoming State Duma elections.
Russian Supreme Court orders exclusion of Yabloko, a party opposed to the invasion of Ukraine, from the lower house of parliament elections.
Russia's Supreme Court has decided to exclude anti-invasion parties from its September parliamentary elections.
The Russian Supreme Court has ruled in favor of excluding anti-invasion parties from the September lower house elections.
Russian Supreme Court rules against allowing anti-war party Yabloko to participate in parliamentary elections.
Russia excludes the anti-war party Yabloko from the September parliamentary elections, once again highlighting its censorship.
Russia's Supreme Court on Monday barred the country's only anti-war party, Yabloko, from contesting September's parliamentary elections. •
The Supreme Court of Russia has removed the only anti-war party on the ballot, Yabluko, from the elections to the State Duma of the Russian Federation. The court made this decision after considering a lawsuit by the Rodina party, which accused the Yabluko party of extremism and copyright infringement. Astra reports that this is the first case in modern Russian history when a party registered to participate in the elections has been excluded from the ballot. The political force intends to appeal the court's decision and also file a lawsuit to protect its business reputation against the Rodina party. According to Meduza, hundreds of young people came to the Supreme Court building to support Yabluko. Security forces are threatening everyone present with military registration and enlistment subscribe
Russia: Supreme Court excludes anti-war party Yabloko from elections
Russia's Supreme Court bans the anti-war Yabloko party from participating in elections.
The only party that opposed the war was removed from the elections in Russia The Supreme Court of the Russian Federation decided to prevent the Yabloko party from participating in the elections. When announcing the decision, the judge did not even read the motivational part. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
Russia's Supreme Court bans the anti-war Yabloko party from participating in elections.
The Russian Supreme Court has disqualified the Yabloko political party from the elections to the ninth State Duma, deregistering its federal list of candidates. An Izvestia correspondent reports this from the courtroom. The court granted the administrative claim to cancel the registration of the federal list of candidates nominated by the Yabloko party. Thus, the federal list of the party, previously registered by the Central Electoral Commission of the Russian Federation, is excluded from participation in the elections of deputies of the State Duma of the 9th convocation. Elections of deputies of the State Duma of the ninth convocation will be held from September 18 to 20, 2026. More IZ RU news in MAX [in reply to: The Prosecutor General's Office has advocated for the removal of Yabloko from the State Duma elections, an Izvestia correspondent reports from the courtroom. "We believe that there are all grounds for satisfying the claim in accordance with the law, and we ask that Yabloko be removed from the State Duma elections," he said. the prosecutor during a hearing of the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation. Among the grounds, he cited the party's receipt of foreign funding, as well as violations of legislation on combating extremism. More IZ RU news in MAX]
YESNews92%match97¢+3%
The Supreme Court of the Russian Federation has cancelled the registration of the Yabloko party's list of candidates for the State Duma elections – decision
Interfax: The Russian Prosecutor General's Office bans the anti-war Yabloko party from participating in parliamentary elections.
Where does the news lean?
28YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yabloko is effectively banned from participation in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM Moscow time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Russian authorities that prevents Yabloko from contesting the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections as a political party. This includes, but is not limited to: Yabloko being denied registration to contest the specified election, or having such registration revoked or annulled; Yabloko’s federal list of candidates being refused registration, removed from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to participate in the federal electoral district; Yabloko being forcibly dissolved, deregistered, or otherwise ceasing to be a legally registered political party in Russia; the party being suspended or otherwise designated in a manner that bars its participation in the specified election; or an official determination that votes cast for Yabloko’s federal list will not be counted or will be invalidated. If Yabloko’s federal list is ineligible to contest the election, this will suffice regardless of whether individual candidates nominated by, affiliated with, or identified with Yabloko remain eligible to contest one or more single-member constituencies.
A decision by Yabloko to voluntarily withdraw from, boycott, or otherwise decline to contest the specified election will not qualify. The disqualification, withdrawal, arrest, or barring of individual Yabloko candidates or officials will not qualify, provided the Yabloko party list remains eligible to contest the specified election.
Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Russian government, by Yabloko, or by an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting that Yabloko has been banned may also be used.
A qualifying decision will count as soon as it takes legal effect. Once such a decision has taken effect, any subsequent stay, suspension, reversal, annulment, reinstatement, or other action that modifies or renders the decision ineffective will not affect this market’s resolution.
Confirmation of a ban must occur by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM Moscow time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Russian government and Yabloko; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.