Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? Odds jumped to 99% on Aug 10, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? On , the market’s odds jumped from 84.5¢ to 98.5¢ (+14 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from franceinfo.fr. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match84.5¢
+5m84.5¢
+30m79.5¢
+1h98.5¢
+24h97¢
1h move+14 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesfranceinfo.fr98%match
Live: #RUSSIA In Russia, the Yabloko party could be banned from participating in the September parliamentary elections...

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$436K

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Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.