Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?Yair Lapid
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 55% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES55¢
NO46¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Thus, the way was paved for replacing Amir Ohana from his position as Knesset Speaker with Yair Lapid (unless Eisenkot decides to refuse) [in reply to: Lieberman: We will support Lapid for Knesset Speaker. He asked me to support him]
Thus, the way was paved for Amir Ohana to be replaced as Knesset Speaker by Yair Lapid (unless Eisenkot decides to refuse).
Israeli Broadcasting Authority: Lieberman announces he will recommend Gadi Eisenkot to form the government and Yair Lapid for Knesset speakership
Israeli media: Lieberman will recommend Eisenkot to form the government and Yair Lapid to assume the position of Knesset Speaker
Lieberman - The world will turn upside down. I will not sit with Netanyahu even if he offers me to be first in the rotation. Also on the issue of a minority government - we have made it clear and I have written several times, it will not happen.
We will recommend Gadi Eisenkot to impose the mandate (even though he ran the most egotistical campaign there is) and I will support Yair Lapid's candidacy for the position of Knesset Speaker.
Lieberman: Yair Lapid told me that he wants to be Speaker of the Knesset, we will support Lapid's candidacy for the position of Speaker of the Knesset.
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 72% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count.
If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28".
This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.