What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?↑ $4,600
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES11¢
NO89¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Gold rebounded above $4,600 an ounce after a month-long surge of nearly 15%. But behind the rise lies a larger battle between US fiscal and monetary policy. The Treasury's intervention in the bond market revived debt fears, weakened the dollar, and gave new momentum to the "currency devaluation trade." Conversely, inflation remaining above the Fed's target has raised the possibility of an interest rate hike, a scenario that could put pressure on gold. Therefore, all eyes are on Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole for the next clue on the path of interest rates. #Arabic_Business
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 52% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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