What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?↓ $3,600
Open$16Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Gold surprises everyone; the yellow metal surpasses $4,600 today. The rise isn't because the world prefers gold in times of uncertainty, but because investors have begun to fear the dollar. The Treasury Department has started buying long-term bonds heavily to lower yields, but the market interpreted the move as a signal of future currency weakness. Gold ETFs saw their largest inflows since last January. The battle today is no longer between gold and the dollar, but between confidence and fear. Will the rise continue if the dollar doesn't recover? @mayaj_bn #Arabic_Business
Gold prices break through $4,600, hitting a three-month high; latest "target range" released.
Gold on the rise; 27% growth in the past two months After falling at the beginning of the year, the global gold price has grown by 12% in the past two months and reached $4,600. At the same time, the free dollar has also increased by 18%; a combination that has brought the return of gold funds such as "Rose Bergamot" to 27%; higher than the dollar and the stock market. Market returns since the beginning of July:
"Rose Bergamot" gold fund; 27%
Free market dollar; 18%
General stock market index; 15% Gold funds have become very popular among people these days, due to the possibility of buying and selling online and reliable physical support. See the tutorial on how to buy a gold fund here.
Khaled Al-Khatib, Head of Global Market Analysis at MH Markets: Gold is stabilizing in the $3,950 to $4,000 range thanks to investor buying on dips. Concerns about interest rate hikes to combat inflation have exerted the greatest downward pressure on gold. For these reasons, we rule out a return to the $3,600 level for gold at present. @Nadine_bn
#BusinessLunch
#ArabicBusiness
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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