What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?↑ $4,500

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$82KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESSky News Arabia94%match100¢
Gold continues to rise in spot trading, climbing by about 4% to $4,504.59 per ounce.
YESBelarus State News Agency94%match92¢+9%
The price of gold futures exceeded $4,550 per troy ounce for the first time since June 2.
YEScontent-static.cctvnews.cctv.com94%match90¢+11%
International gold prices break through $4,500 per ounce
YESalarabiya_bn94%match83¢+20%
Gold continues its rise in spot trading, climbing nearly 3% to $4,461.39 per ounce. Gold jumped to its highest level in over two months as a weaker dollar and lower bond yields boosted the appeal of the non-yielding precious metal. #AlArabiya_Business
YESmoney.udn.com97%match64¢+56%
Gold rebounds from its trough? / Gold emerges from a slump, breaking through $4,500 in August – another record high?
YESSemi-Official YJC News Agency94%match74¢+35%
Gold futures price crosses $4,500 per ounce for the first time since June 5 @YjcNewsChannel
YESNews96%match76¢+32%
URGENT: The exchange price of gold rose above $4,500 per troy ounce for the first time since June 5.
YESNews96%match75¢+33%
The gold exchange price rose above $4,500 per troy ounce for the first time since June 5 – trading data
YESalarabiya_bn94%match63¢+59%
Gold rose for the third consecutive session today, climbing to its highest level in over two months, as investors awaited US inflation data for fresh clues on the path of interest rates. Spot gold climbed 1% to $4,432.74 per ounce before retreating to around $4,380, while US gold futures rose 1.7% to $4,492.60. Analysts believe gold's rise is based on a return of safe-haven demand, along with short covering and buying from investors who fear missing out on the rally. Attention is now focused on US consumer price data due tomorrow, followed by the producer price report on Thursday, amid growing market expectations of a US interest rate cut after weak jobs data in July. Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG, said gold could break through current levels in the medium term. This could pave the way for a stronger rise towards $5,000 per ounce. #Arabic_Business
NObfmtv.com92%match88¢-100%
The price of gold has fallen from $5,500 to $4,000 an ounce in just a few months: investors are turning away from the precious metal due to fears of interest rate hikes by central banks.

Where does the news lean?

17YES2NO11neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Sourcepythdata.app

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