What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?↑ $4,300
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$25Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Gold reaches $4,300, a one-and-a-half-month high, as expectations of interest rate hikes recede due to worsening US employment indicators.
Gold prices rose for the fourth consecutive session today, reaching a seven-week high of $4,285 an ounce before settling near $4,265. This increase was supported by a weaker dollar and lower US Treasury yields, amid growing optimism about a potential agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. US gold futures also climbed 0.9% to $4,345.50. The precious metal's gains coincided with a decline in the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note and a drop in the dollar index, boosting gold's appeal to investors. Market optimism was further fueled by reports of a proposed agreement between Iran and Oman to help end the war, which impacted expectations for US monetary policy. The probability of an interest rate hike in September fell to 55%, compared to 67% two days prior. #AlArabiya_Business
Gold prices surged past the $4,300 mark, hitting a new recent high! Three main reasons fueled the strong rebound in gold prices.
Gold hits a 7-week high of around $4,286 an ounce
Gold futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) rose 3.6% from their previous close, hitting a high of $4,302.30 per ounce, according to data shared by the online platform Trading Economics. The figure reached its highest level since June 18. The platform suggests that the rise in gold prices is due to investor optimism regarding a possible deal between the US and Iran. On August 4, US President Donald Trump called the talks "very good," raising expectations for a quick resolution to the five-month conflict between the countries, the publication clarified. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
YESNews96%match78¢+28%
URGENT: The exchange price of gold rose above $4,300 per troy ounce for the first time since June 18.
YESNews96%match78¢+28%
The gold exchange price rose above $4,300 per troy ounce for the first time since June 18 – trading data
Gold continues to rise in spot trading, climbing by about 3% to $4196.29 per ounce.
Where does the news lean?
8YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of August 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
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