What places will Trump mention in August?Tehran
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO97¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
WASHINGTON, Aug 3 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday said Iran faced "decapitation" if it did not agree a pact to end the conflict between the two nations, saying Tehran had one last chance to strike a deal.
#Live | Trump says Washington will hold negotiations with Tehran, starting this afternoon
#Live | Trump says Washington will hold negotiations with Tehran, starting Monday afternoon
#Breaking | Trump says Washington will hold negotiations with Tehran, starting Monday afternoon.
US President Donald Trump, in response to the attack by the Revolutionary Guard on two oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, said that the process of war with the Islamic Republic is moving in Washington's favor. Trump added that Tehran will ultimately have no choice but to retreat. Reported by Samira Qaraei, Iran International correspondent
Where does the news lean?
7YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
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