What places will Trump mention in August?
Open18as of
Market pricing makes Penn Station the favorite at 43% across 18 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Washington D.C.100%
Middle East100%
Mexico100%
Los Angeles100%
Mars100%
Penn Station43%
Abbey Gate41%
Greenland30%
Harvard30%
Moscow27%
Tehran21%
Gaza20%
What moved the odds?
27 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
In a speech in South Carolina, Trump referred to US efforts to prevent the Islamic Republic from obtaining nuclear weapons and Tehran's "strong" desire for a deal, saying: "We don't even know if we want a deal ourselves, because I consider the Strait of Hormuz to be American territory right now. It's American territory." He stressed that once America is done with the Islamic Republic, oil prices will come down. "We'll do that, but we have to deviate a little bit from the Islamic Republic of Iran and we have to deal with the nuclear issue, because they're going to get nuclear weapons and we can't let them have nuclear weapons. We can't let Iran have nuclear weapons, or you're going to see very bad things happen."
GazaPresident Trump is dangling the possibility of an endorsement in Israel’s late October election as he seeks to pressure Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to move forward on his Gaza peace plan. Trump, in an interview with Fox News on Monday, said it’s “appropriate” for him to stay out of the Israeli elections on October…91%match74¢-73%
Trump dangles Netanyahu endorsement in pressure campaign on Gaza
#Morning Market Brief>
-Trump says Israel should stop attacking Gaza
-China's economic activity slowed further in July; real estate market decline deepened
-US stocks fell slightly, Middle East stalemate dragged down market sentiment
-SpaceX stock price rose: Nvidia, Google and Harvard University disclosed heavy holdings
-OpenAI finalizes lease for giant data center in Ohio with Nvidia support
-Trump reverts to old tactics to appease a more powerful Kim Jong-un
-How this massive Chinese oil refinery became Iran's financial lifeline
US President Donald Trump told Fox News that Iran should "wave the white flag and surrender." "I don't have a timetable," Trump added. "I'm in no rush... The midterm elections have nothing to do with how I think." The president confirmed that there is a direct back channel with senior Revolutionary Guards officials. "They're good poker players, but they're dying." President Trump also addressed ongoing talks between Iran and Oman regarding control of the Strait of Hormuz. "If Oman gets in our way, we'll blow their ass." President Trump noted that there has been positive progress in efforts to get Hamas to disarm, but said Israel should not attack Gaza now. "We have our own relationship with Hamas. They're giving up their weapons."
President Trump makes public statement on Gaza in Fox News interview: "The Israelis should not attack Gaza - Hamas has agreed to lay down its weapons" Trump makes the political restrictions imposed on Israel in Gaza public. Hamas spokesman Hazem Qassem welcomes Trump's statement: "We welcome his statement, we call on President Trump to put pressure on the Israeli government to abide by the agreements reached to implement the second phase of Trump's peace plan for Gaza." ### One has to wonder why Hamas is so keen to advance the Peace Council's plan (the 15-point plan) - according to which Hamas will store its weapons in weapons depots in Gaza...
Trump Blames ‘Vandals’ For Damaging Lawn At National Mall Site Where He Held July 4 Rally. • Trump claimed the damage to the lawn at the National Mall and the alleged vandalism at the World War II Memorial prove that the Lincoln Memorial Pool was also vandalized.
Trump Blames ‘Vandals’ For Damaging Lawn At National Mall Site Where He Held July 4 Rally. • Trump claimed the damage to the lawn at the National Mall and the alleged vandalism at the World War II Memorial prove that the Lincoln Memorial Pool was also vandalized.
Live: #MIDDLE_EAST In a press briefing in the Oval Office, US President Donald Trump assured that the Strait of Hormuz could reopen "soon"...
Middle East war: Donald Trump declares that either the Strait of Hormuz "will open very soon" or Iran will be hit "very hard"
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP SPEAKS IN LOS ANGELES: LIVE
*PRESIDENT TRUMP SPEAKS TO REPORTERS IN LOS ANGELES
Middle East war: Trump says either the Strait of Hormuz will "open very soon" or Iran will be hit "very hard"
President Trump heads west today with stops in California and Las Vegas. • • On Tuesday night: Trump is set to attend an RNC dinner at Trump National Golf Club Los Angeles. • • On Wednesday: Trump is set for remarks on the economy at Red Rock Casino in Las Vegas.
WASHINGTON, Aug 3 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday said Iran faced "decapitation" if it did not agree a pact to end the conflict between the two nations, saying Tehran had one last chance to strike a deal.
Live: Trump going to Los Angeles on Tuesday and speak in Las Vegas on Wednesday
THIS WEEK: President Trump will travel to Los Angeles, CA and Las Vegas, Nevada for an RNC Dinner and economic remarks. • • An official tells me @NewsNation “President Trump will visit Los Angeles, California, on Tuesday where he will attend an RNC Dinner at Trump National Golf Club Los Angeles. The President’s West Coast swing will also include a visit to Las Vegas, Nevada, on Wednesday where the President will deliver remarks at Red Rock Casino on the economy. President Trump will highlight how his Working Families Tax Cuts are delivering real results for American workers.”
CAIRO/JERUSALEM, Aug 2 (Reuters) - Israeli airstrikes hit Gaza for a second straight day on Sunday, killing at least 18 Palestinians, medics said, despite U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a breakthrough in efforts to implement last year's ceasefire agreement.
#Live | Trump says Washington will hold negotiations with Tehran, starting this afternoon
#Live | Trump says Washington will hold negotiations with Tehran, starting Monday afternoon
Donald Trump announced that talks between Washington and Tehran would begin on August 3. "I think there's a deal. There's a deal on the Strait of Hormuz. Then there will be an agreement on the nuclear issue, or, you could say, on the denuclearization of Iran," Mr. Trump told reporters. As Donald Trump recalled, the United States decided not to launch a new attack on Iran at the request of Middle Eastern countries. According to him, Tehran also asked Washington not to launch new strikes. At the same time, Mr. Trump added, the United States is ready to launch an attack "at any time we want." Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
#Breaking | Trump says Washington will hold negotiations with Tehran, starting Monday afternoon.
Live: Trump announced Gaza roadmap to ‘turn political fortunes around’ before vote
US President Donald Trump, in response to the attack by the Revolutionary Guard on two oil tankers in the Persian Gulf, said that the process of war with the Islamic Republic is moving in Washington's favor. Trump added that Tehran will ultimately have no choice but to retreat. Reported by Samira Qaraei, Iran International correspondent
TRUMP WARNS ISRAEL ON GAZA DEAL • • A U.S. official said President Donald Trump would be "very disappointed" if Israel fails to honor the agreed 20-point Gaza peace plan. • • The U.S. expects Israel to comply, while Hamas' disarmament is expected to be refined over the coming weeks, with progress anticipated within one to two months despite opposition from members of Israel's governing coalition.
Trump announces Gaza breakthrough but uncertainty remains • •
LIVE - Middle East War: Trump announces agreement on Hamas disarmament in Gaza
Trump announced that an agreement had been reached on the complete disarmament of Hamas forces. He noted that Israel would withdraw its forces from Gaza after the disarmament of Hamas forces. Implementation of the disarmament agreement is reported to begin in the coming weeks.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf