What places will Trump mention in August?Gaza
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 78% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES78¢
NO22¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
#Morning Market Brief>
-Trump says Israel should stop attacking Gaza
-China's economic activity slowed further in July; real estate market decline deepened
-US stocks fell slightly, Middle East stalemate dragged down market sentiment
-SpaceX stock price rose: Nvidia, Google and Harvard University disclosed heavy holdings
-OpenAI finalizes lease for giant data center in Ohio with Nvidia support
-Trump reverts to old tactics to appease a more powerful Kim Jong-un
-How this massive Chinese oil refinery became Iran's financial lifeline
US President Donald Trump told Fox News that Iran should "wave the white flag and surrender." "I don't have a timetable," Trump added. "I'm in no rush... The midterm elections have nothing to do with how I think." The president confirmed that there is a direct back channel with senior Revolutionary Guards officials. "They're good poker players, but they're dying." President Trump also addressed ongoing talks between Iran and Oman regarding control of the Strait of Hormuz. "If Oman gets in our way, we'll blow their ass." President Trump noted that there has been positive progress in efforts to get Hamas to disarm, but said Israel should not attack Gaza now. "We have our own relationship with Hamas. They're giving up their weapons."
President Trump makes public statement on Gaza in Fox News interview: "The Israelis should not attack Gaza - Hamas has agreed to lay down its weapons" Trump makes the political restrictions imposed on Israel in Gaza public. Hamas spokesman Hazem Qassem welcomes Trump's statement: "We welcome his statement, we call on President Trump to put pressure on the Israeli government to abide by the agreements reached to implement the second phase of Trump's peace plan for Gaza." ### One has to wonder why Hamas is so keen to advance the Peace Council's plan (the 15-point plan) - according to which Hamas will store its weapons in weapons depots in Gaza...
Live: Trump announced Gaza roadmap to ‘turn political fortunes around’ before vote
Where does the news lean?
10YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
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