Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Kim Jong Un

OpenVol$79KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 24% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES24¢
NO76¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

22 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

YESbiz.chosun.com95%match24¢
Trump to meet Kim Jong-un first, could hold second summit after midterm elections
NOjoongang.co.kr93%match65¢+17%
Kim Jong-un Remains Unresponsive to Trump's Overtures; Will He Meet Putin?… “North Korea-Russia Tumen River Bridge Expected to Open in Early September”
YESIran's judiciary-run Mizan97%match32¢-25%
Reuters: Trump wants to meet Kim Jong Un again; North Korea: Not anytime soon Trump says he plans to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later this year. But Pyongyang has reacted coolly to the offer. Mizan on social media @mizanplus‏ [in reply to: Trump seeks to meet Kim Jong Un Wall Street Journal: US President Donald Trump has asked his aides to prepare for a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un this fall, which could take place during Trump's possible trip to Asia in November. No formal planning has yet begun for the meeting. Mizan on social media @mizanplus‏]
YESchinesewsj93%match32¢-25%
#This Week's Hot Reads US officials say Trump is urging his aides to arrange a meeting with Kim Jong-un as early as this fall in an attempt to revive a diplomatic effort from his first term: persuading Kim to abandon North Korea's nuclear weapons program.
YESIran Semi-Official Tasnim96%match35¢-31%
Trump to meet Kim again, North Korea's cold response "Donald Trump", the head of the terrorist US government, says he plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un again later this year; but Pyongyang's cold response shows that the country will have tough conditions for holding such a meeting. Trump recently announced that he expects to meet with Kim later this year. Earlier this week, he also abruptly reduced joint US-South Korean military exercises, describing them as "hostile" for North Korea. According to the report, Trump is seeking to resume talks with North Korea and achieve success in the international arena. However, Pyongyang has emphasized that it will have its own conditions for holding a possible meeting, regardless of the "excellent" relations between the two leaders. @TasnimNews
YESRussian Media92%match36¢-33%
North Korea launched ballistic missiles in response to US attempts to resume dialogue. On August 20, 12 missiles were fired in the Pyongyang area, the South Korean Yonhap news agency reports. The missile tests took place immediately after US President Donald Trump expressed his readiness to resume dialogue with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un on the "denuclearization" of the Korean Peninsula, which was interrupted in 2019. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: "Trump is having an affair with Kim Jong-un again"] Donald Trump's announcement that he plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has sparked a heated reaction in the international media. The Wall Street Journal (New York, USA): President Trump is known for his impulsiveness, and his latest idea is to renew his courtship of North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un. Perhaps Mr. Trump is trying to distract from the impasse with Iran over the Strait of Hormuz. Or he is trying to reassure Mr. Kim at a time when American weapons stockpiles and deployments are at their limits. The United States is currently withdrawing its last carrier task force from the Western Pacific to relieve the USS Abraham Lincoln, which is returning home. China, for its part, is pleased to see the USS George Washington leave the Pacific Ocean, seeking to convince countries in the region that they cannot rely on US defense." The Korea Herald (Seoul, South Korea): Trump may resume personal diplomacy with Kim, which led to three bilateral meetings during his first term. The question is whether Kim will respond to Trump's initiative, given North Korea's deepening diplomatic, economic, and military cooperation with Russia and improved relations with China, which reduce Pyongyang's need for US assistance. Kim Yo Jong, the North Korean leader's powerful sister, said North Korea was not interested in cutting back on drills, but her comments that the North Korean leader still had "excellent" relations with Trump appeared to leave the door open for renewed dialogue with Washington. The Japan Times (Tokyo, Japan): US President Donald Trump said he plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un this year. But the words of Kim's influential sister likely cooled Trump's urge to renew relations. The sudden return of North Korea as a primary focus of US foreign policy has sparked speculation that Trump may be seeking a diplomatic victory at a time when the US is facing challenges in its war in Iran. Trump faces a difficult task in convincing Kim to return to the negotiating table—the North Korean leader was angry when Trump withdrew from the 2019 nuclear talks in Hanoi and has since taken a harder line toward the United States. Nevertheless, the Kim regime has left the door slightly ajar for a return to diplomacy. Al Jazeera (Doha, Qatar): US President Donald Trump again praised the leader of nuclear-armed North Korea, while simultaneously criticizing allies in Seoul for failing to help Washington combat Iran. This reopened one of the most contentious diplomatic issues of his first term. He also announced that he would meet with Kim this year. Analysts say a summit with Kim Jong-un, regardless of its outcome, would be a useful achievement for Trump. This is especially true given that the unpopular war against Iran remains unfinished and Trump's campaign promise to end the war in Ukraine remains unfulfilled. Kommersant reports on the US President's statement and Pyongyang's reaction. Kevin Lamarque / Reuters Follow Kommersant on MAX | Telegram
YESalhadath93%match37¢-35%
With Trump announcing his intention to meet with Kim Jong-un and discussing North Korea's nuclear program, what do we know about Pyongyang's nuclear arsenal?
YESFrench Media97%match39¢-38%
Donald Trump says he "fully intends" to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong-un this year
YESIranian Media97%match39¢-38%
Trump: I will meet with Kim Jong Un by the end of this year US President: I will meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un by the end of this year Kim has 57 "very powerful" nuclear weapons and such a development should never have been allowed This is the first time he has mentioned a specific figure for the country's nuclear arsenal. isna.ir/xdWVB5 @isna94
YESFrench Media98%match39¢-38%
Donald Trump announces he will meet with Kim Jong-un this year
YESbfmtv.com98%match39¢-38%
Donald Trump announces that he will meet with Kim Jong-un this year
YESyomiuri.co.jp95%match39¢-38%
Trump says he will meet with Kim Jong-un before the end of the year... and that North Korea possesses "57 very powerful nuclear weapons."
YESmoney.udn.com96%match39¢-38%
Trump says he will meet with Kim Jong-un; experts say progress on nuclear weapons issue unlikely.
YESzerohedge97%match39¢-38%
Trump Indicates Plans To Meet North Korea's Kim Jong-Un Later This Year
YESms.now96%match39¢-38%
Trump says he plans to meet with Kim Jong Un this year, calls him ‘well behaved’
YESsankei.com93%match39¢-38%
Trump expresses intention to meet with Kim Jong-un before the end of the year; also states that North Korea possesses 57 nuclear weapons.
YESWalla Reporter96%match20¢+20%
Trump wants to meet North Korea leader Kim Jong Un this year in attempt to reach a nuclear deal amid other failures in his foreign policy, according to WSJ
YESdbws.io96%match17¢+41%
Exclusive: Trump Pushes for Kim Jong Un Meeting This Year -- WSJ
YESdj93%match17¢+41%
*Trump Pushing for Meeting With Kim Jong Un, U.S. Officials Say -- WSJ
YESyna.co.kr92%match14¢+71%
Trump Posts Photo of Meeting with Kim Jong-un at Panmunjom… “Good Relations”
YESalarabiya95%match12¢+100%
"Our frowns don't reflect our great relationship... and we smile in other photos." Trump posts a photo with the North Korean leader and writes a controversial comment. Trump posted a photo of himself with the North Korean leader, describing its details as "unfriendly," and commented, "Kim Jong Un and I get along very well." Trump confirmed via Truth Social that despite Kim Jong Un's unfriendly expression in this particular photo, they smile in other pictures. Trump's statements bring back to the forefront his remarkable relationship with Kim Jong Un, which during his first term moved from exchanging threats to direct meetings. Trump and Kim held two summits in Singapore in 2018 and Hanoi in 2019 without reaching an agreement on Pyongyang's nuclear program and sanctions. Trump met with Kim in June. In 2019, in the demilitarized zone between the two Koreas, he crossed into North Korea in a symbolic move that garnered global attention. Despite Trump's repeated emphasis on the personal relationship between the two Koreas, his meetings with Kim did not lead to a final agreement. (From Al Arabiya)

Where does the news lean?

157YES3NO19neutraltrailing 24h

Signal flow leans YES at 59% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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