Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Odds jumped to 31% on Aug 18, 2026

OpenMove

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 16.5¢ to 30.5¢ (+14 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 6-source news cluster, from dbws.io.

How did the odds move?

At match16.5¢
+5m32¢
+30m32¢
+1h30.5¢
+24h38.5¢
1h move+14 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 21.5¢ → 30.5¢+9 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Part of a 6-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesdbws.io96%match
Exclusive: Trump Pushes for Kim Jong Un Meeting This Year -- WSJ
YesReuters96%match
Trump Pushes for Kim Jong UN Meeting This Year- WSJ
YesReuters95%match
Rpt-Trump Pushes for Kim Jong UN Meeting This Year- WSJ
Yeslivesquawk95%match
Trump Pushes For Kim Jong Un Meeting This Year - WSJ • •
YesAsharq96%match
Wall Street Journal: Trump is pushing for a meeting with Kim Jong Un this year

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 24% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES24¢
NO76¢

Vol$79K

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Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will Trump meet with in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.