Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Odds fell to 21% on Aug 19, 2026

OpenMove

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 30¢ to 21¢ (-9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from sedaily.com.

How did the odds move?

At match30¢
+5m30¢
+30m24¢
+1h21¢
+24h38.5¢
1h move-9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 19, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 30.5¢ → 21¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Tasnim
  • 30.5¢ → 21¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official SNN
  • 28.5¢ → 39¢+10.5 ptsafter a signal from AFP Reporter
  • 28.5¢ → 39¢+10.5 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 31.5¢ → 41.5¢+10 ptsafter a signal from WSJ Reporter
  • 33.5¢ → 44¢+10.5 ptsafter a signal from ynet.co.il
  • 33.5¢ → 48¢+14.5 ptsafter a signal from cbsnews.com
  • 33.5¢ → 48¢+14.5 ptsafter a signal from yna.co.kr
  • 48¢ → 38.5¢-9.5 ptsafter a signal from NBC Reporter

What moved the odds?

Yessedaily.com96%match
Trump to meet Kim Jong-un as early as this fall... Possibility of November APEC

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 24% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES24¢
NO76¢

Vol$79K

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Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will Trump meet with in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.