U.K. Annual Inflation 20261.5–1.9%
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
UK inflation jumps as Mideast war propels energy prices
U.K. inflation jumped to 3.3% in March as the Iran war sparked a sharp increase in fuel prices, preliminary data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed Wednesday. • • The latest data is the first hard evidence of the Iran war’s impact on consumer prices in the U.K. • • Fuel prices saw their largest increase for over three years, the ONS’ chief economist said. • • Click here to read more:
The UK inflation rate has risen significantly due to the situation in the Middle East.
Live: UK inflation jumps to 3.3%
Inflation figures due soon, showing impact of Iran war on UK cost of living
POLL: UK INFLATION TO AVERAGE 3.2% AND ECONOMIC GROWTH 0.7% IN 2026 (VS 3.1%, 1.0% IN MARCH POLL) ...
Poll: UK inflation to average 3.2% and economic growth 0.7% in 2026 (vs 3.1%, 1.0% in March poll)
NOReuters99%match93¢+2%
Reuters Poll-UK Inflation to Average 3.2% and Economic Growth 0.7% in 2026 (vs 3.1%, 1.0% in March Poll)
Statistics: 1.8% annual inflation in the Kingdom during March 2026
UK households’ living standards to fall after energy price shock-ft
ALERT: UK annual inflation stays at 3% in February: official
Inflation remains unchanged at 3% - ONS
Where does the news lean?
1YES16NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
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