Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?Republic of the Congo
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 21% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES21¢
NO79¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
More than 5000 Ebola cases in Congo – the deadliest outbreak in the country's history
The Ebola outbreak in Congo is the deadliest in the country's history.
Congo reports 3,605 Ebola cases, the worst on record, with a 44% fatality rate; WHO issues warning.
Ebola outbreak in Congo reaches 3,600 cases, the largest outbreak to date.
Ebola cases in Congo top 3,200, nearing record of the country’s worst outbreak
The number of confirmed Ebola cases in Congo has risen to 2,181.
WHO announces over 2,000 Ebola cases and approximately 800 deaths in Congo, raising concerns about the rapid spread of the virus.
#BreakingNews | Congo announces that the number of confirmed Ebola cases has risen to more than 2,000, including 754 deaths. #HereIsTheKingdom
The Ebola outbreak in Congo has spread to five provinces, with infections exceeding 1,800 cases.
Congo announces a rise in confirmed Ebola cases to 1,830, including 648 deaths. #Breaking #Here_is_the_Kingdom
Where does the news lean?
11YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.