Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?Kenya

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$19KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESmoney.udn.com96%match
The Ebola outbreak continues in the Democratic Republic of Congo; Kenya reports its first imported case.
YESft.com95%match100¢
Kenya confirms first case of Ebola
YES47news.jp94%match100¢
Ebola case confirmed in Kenya; resident of Congo, died after returning home.
YESBelarus State News Agency92%match100¢
Kenya reports first death from Ebola
YESrbc.ru95%match100¢
Kenya confirms first case of Ebola
YESnews.kbs.co.kr94%match100¢
Kenya Reports First Ebola Death… “Recently Entered from Democratic Republic of Congo”
YESspiegel.de96%match100¢
Ebola in Kenya: First case imported from the Congo reported in Nairobi
YESyna.co.kr94%match100¢
Ebola Death in Kenya… "Kenyan who recently returned from Democratic Republic of Congo"
YESafp97%match100¢
Kenya has reported its first-ever Ebola death, the health minister announced on Tuesday, after a Kenyan man who had been living in the Democratic Republic of Congo died after returning to the country. •
YESlemonde.fr92%match98¢+2%
Ebola: Kenya announces its first death linked to the virus
YESAl Arabiya92%match97¢+3%
Kenya announces its first Ebola death, a Kenyan returning from Congo
YESsante.lefigaro.fr92%match100¢
Ebola: Kenya announces its first death linked to the virus
YESrfi.fr93%match98¢+2%
Kenya announces its first Ebola death on its soil
YESfranceinfo.fr92%match98¢+2%
Live: #EBOLA Kenya announces an Ebola death on its soil, the first ever recorded.
YESafp.com93%match98¢+2%
Kenya reports first-ever Ebola death
YESbbc.co.uk93%match97¢+3%
Kenya confirms its first Ebola death as outbreak spreads
YEStheguardian.com94%match98¢+2%
Kenya confirms first Ebola case imported from Congo and says patient has died
YESapnews.com94%match97¢+3%
Kenya confirms first Ebola case imported from Congo after patient dies in Nairobi
YESapnews.com94%match97¢+3%
Kenya confirms first Ebola case imported from Congo after patient dies while receiving treatment in Nairobi

Where does the news lean?

19YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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See all outcomes for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.