Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
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Market pricing makes Nigeria the favorite at 48% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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The Ebola outbreak continues in the Democratic Republic of Congo; Kenya reports its first imported case.
Ebola case confirmed in Kenya; resident of Congo, died after returning home.
Kenya reports first death from Ebola
Kenya Reports First Ebola Death… “Recently Entered from Democratic Republic of Congo”
Ebola in Kenya: First case imported from the Congo reported in Nairobi
Ebola Death in Kenya… "Kenyan who recently returned from Democratic Republic of Congo"
Kenya has reported its first-ever Ebola death, the health minister announced on Tuesday, after a Kenyan man who had been living in the Democratic Republic of Congo died after returning to the country. •
Ebola: Kenya announces its first death linked to the virus
Kenya announces its first Ebola death, a Kenyan returning from Congo
Ebola: Kenya announces its first death linked to the virus
Live: #EBOLA Kenya announces an Ebola death on its soil, the first ever recorded.
Kenya confirms first Ebola case imported from Congo and says patient has died
Kenya confirms first Ebola case imported from Congo after patient dies in Nairobi
Kenya confirms first Ebola case imported from Congo after patient dies while receiving treatment in Nairobi
An Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo, the deadliest in its history, has spread to a seventh province, bordering the Central African Republic and Congo-Brazzaville, the governor of South-Ubangi province said on Friday
An Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo, the deadliest in its history, has spread to a seventh province, bordering the Central African Republic and Congo-Brazzaville, the governor of South-Ubangi province said on Friday. •
Live: #EBOLA The deadliest Ebola epidemic in the history of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has spread to a seventh province of the country, bordering the Central African Republic and Congo-Brazzaville, the government announced...
More than 5000 Ebola cases in Congo – the deadliest outbreak in the country's history
The Ebola outbreak in Congo is the deadliest in the country's history.
Congo reports 3,605 Ebola cases, the worst on record, with a 44% fatality rate; WHO issues warning.
Ebola outbreak in Congo reaches 3,600 cases, the largest outbreak to date.
Ebola cases in Congo top 3,200, nearing record of the country’s worst outbreak
Ebola has already claimed the lives of more than 1,000 people in the DR Congo. This has become the fastest-spreading outbreak in history, writes AP. According to the WHO, the disease is caused by the Bundibugyo virus. As the agency notes, there are no approved vaccines or treatments yet. Previously, Rospotrebnadzor reported that no cases of Ebola fever have been recorded in Russia, and there is no risk of the infection being imported into the country. Video not loading? Watch in MAX [in reply to: Russia has donated more than seven thousand tests to Africa to diagnose Ebola caused by the Bundibugyo virus. Rospotrebnadzor was one of the first in the world - in just four days - to develop and organize the production of test systems for PCR diagnostics of the disease. "The tests have been sent to the DRC, the Republic of the Congo, and Uganda, where Rospotrebnadzor specialists, together with local colleagues, confirmed their effectiveness in real-world conditions, directly at the outbreak site, including in comparative trials with tests from other countries," the agency noted. The Russian development has received high praise from local specialists for its ease of use and accuracy. Requests for the Bundibugyo virus detection test system have also come from other countries: they have already been sent to the DPRK and Turkmenistan, and a request has been received from Tajikistan. Rospotrebnadzor continues to train specialists in Uganda and participate in organizing anti-epidemic measures. The agency's team has trained more than 20 Ugandans in laboratory diagnostics and methods of working in the outbreak site. Video not loading? Watch in MAX]
The number of confirmed Ebola cases in Congo has risen to 2,181.
WHO announces over 2,000 Ebola cases and approximately 800 deaths in Congo, raising concerns about the rapid spread of the virus.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.