When will the Knesset elect a new Speaker?December 31
Open$257as of
Odds now
The market prices a 94% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES94¢
NO6¢
as of
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes".
This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for When will the Knesset elect a new Speaker? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.