ECB Interest Rates: September 202650+ bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: No$104Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
31 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The ECB raised key interest rates by 25 basis points.
NEW: The European Central Bank hikes rates by 25bps for the second time this year as rising oil prices drive inflation higher, with markets now pricing a 90% chance of a third hike before year-end.
The European Central Bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.5%, marking its second rate hike this year.
The ECB raised interest rates again by 25 basis points.
FED HIKE ODDS SURGE AFTER ECB MOVE • • Kalshi now puts a 64% chance on a 25-bp Fed hike in September, versus 36% for no change. • • The repricing follows the ECB’s 25-bp hike, as energy-driven inflation concerns push central banks toward a more hawkish stance. • •
The European Central Bank raised interest rates by 25 basis points.
The European Central Bank raised interest rates by another 0.25%, its first increase in two meetings, due to concerns about inflation.
The ECB decided to raise interest rates by 0.25%, the first time in two meetings since June, in response to rising energy prices.
[Breaking] ECB Hikes Interest Rate… Deposit Rate Rises 0.25%P to 2.50%
[Breaking] ECB Hikes Interest Rate… Deposit Rate Rises 0.25% to 2.50%
[Breaking] ECB Hikes Interest Rate… Deposit Rate Rises 0.25%p to 2.50%
The European Central Bank raises its interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.5%
#Breaking | The European Central Bank raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.5% as expected. #AlArabiya_Business
THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK JUST INCREASED ITS DEPOSIT RATE BY 0.25% UP TO 2.5%
The European Central Bank raises its deposit rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 2.5%
The European Central Bank raises interest rates by 25 basis points for the second time since the Iran war.
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Rpt-Top Alert-ECB Raises Interest Rate on Deposit Facility to 2.50% vs 2.25% (Reuters Poll 2.50%)
ECB HIKES RATES 25 BPS AS INFLATION RISKS RISE • • The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points, taking the deposit rate to 2.50%, as the Middle East conflict keeps inflation pressures elevated. • • The ECB now sees inflation averaging 3.0% in 2026, 2.5% in 2027 and 2.1% in 2028, with the latter two forecasts revised higher. • • Growth forecasts were also upgraded, while the ECB stressed that future rate decisions remain data-dependent with no pre-set path.
ECB raises key interest rates by 0.25 percentage points
The European Central Bank raises interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with expectations.
ECB SAYS INTEREST RATES ECB DECIDED TO RAISE THREE INTEREST RATES BY 25 BASIS POINTS
The European Central Bank raises interest rates by 25 basis points to 2.5% as expected. #Arabic_Business
The European Central Bank raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points.
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*ECB RAISES DEPOSIT FACILITY RATE BY 25BPS TO 2.50%; EST. 2.50%
*ECB RAISES DEPOSIT FACILITY RATE BY 25BPS TO 2.50%; EST. 2.50%
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ECB Says Accordingly, Interest Rates on Deposit Facility, Main Refinancing Operations and Marginal Lending Facility Will Be Increased to 2.50%, 2.65% and 2.90% Respectively, with Effect From 16 September 2026
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ECB Says Interest Rates ECB Decided to Raise Three Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points
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*ECB RAISES DEPOSIT FACILITY RATE BY 25BPS TO 2.5%; EST. 2.50%
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ECB Says ECB Today Decided to Raise Three Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points
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ECB Raises Interest Rate on Deposit Facility to 2.50% vs 2.25% (Reuters Poll 2.50%)
RPT-ECB set for September rate hike with no appetite to signal more, sources say
Where does the news lean?
0YES46NO9neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
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See all outcomes for ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.