North Carolina Senate Election WinnerRoy Cooper (D)
Open$41Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 92% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES92¢
NO9¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
North Carolina Senate race • • Fox News poll • • Roy Cooper (D) 53% • Michael Whatley (R) 44% • •
New Fox News North Carolina Senate poll: • • Roy Cooper (D) - 53% • Michael Whatley (R) - 44%
According to our model, Democrat Roy Cooper is the favorite to win the North Carolina Senate race, with a win probability of 72%. • • The projected vote share is 52% for Cooper and 48% for Republican Michael Whatley.
Where does the news lean?
3YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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See all outcomes for North Carolina Senate Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.