North Carolina Senate Election WinnerMichael Whatley (R)
Open$113Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump on the North Carolina Senate race and Michael Whatley: “He’s a great man, and I’m worried about him. I hope he wins.” • • Earlier today, Senate Republicans’ top campaign spending organization said it is pulling back in North Carolina and pouring money into Kansas.
National Republicans are starting to make major moves to divert resources away from North Carolina Senate race where GOP candidate Michael Whatley has trailed in polls. • Senate Leadership Fund, the top Republican super PAC in Senate contests, is putting pause on ad spending in state, source tells @PatrickSvitek •
“There will be a pulse until election day.” << top GOP strategist involved in Senate races says Michael Whatley isn’t being “left for dead,” but acknowledged, with others involved, that it’s not looking good in NC.
[UPDATE] GOP appears deeply worried about Senate race in N.C., a once-reliable state (first reported at 2026-09-23T09:00:37.188329100Z)
North Carolina Senate race • • Fox News poll • • Roy Cooper (D) 53% • Michael Whatley (R) 44% • •
New Fox News North Carolina Senate poll: • • Roy Cooper (D) - 53% • Michael Whatley (R) - 44%
YESFirst Squawk98%match21¢-81%
TRUMP PRAISES NORTH CAROLINA GOP SENATE CANDIDATE WHATLEY
Where does the news lean?
5YES18NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 78% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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