North Carolina Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Roy Cooper (D) the favorite at 92% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
North Carolina Senate race • • Fox News poll • • Roy Cooper (D) 53% • Michael Whatley (R) 44% • •
North Carolina Senate race • • Fox News poll • • Roy Cooper (D) 53% • Michael Whatley (R) 44% • •
New Fox News North Carolina Senate poll: • • Roy Cooper (D) - 53% • Michael Whatley (R) - 44%
New Fox News North Carolina Senate poll: • • Roy Cooper (D) - 53% • Michael Whatley (R) - 44%
According to our model, Democrat Roy Cooper is the favorite to win the North Carolina Senate race, with a win probability of 72%. • • The projected vote share is 52% for Cooper and 48% for Republican Michael Whatley.
According to our model, Democrat Roy Cooper is the favorite to win the North Carolina Senate race, with a win probability of 72%. • • The projected vote share is 52% for Cooper and 48% for Republican Michael Whatley.
Whatley hits Roy Cooper on taxes in seven-figure ad buy for North Carolina Senate
North Carolina Republicans are anxious for more money to beat Roy Cooper
TRUMP PRAISES NORTH CAROLINA GOP SENATE CANDIDATE WHATLEY
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.