North Carolina Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Roy Cooper (D) the favorite at 96% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Live: Roy Cooper, the Democratic candidate for Senate in North Carolina, received an endorsement today from former President Barack Obama, who in 2008 became the first Democratic presidential candidate to win the state in more than three decades but lost it in 2012. In-person early voting begins in North Carolina on Thursday.
Cooper leads Whatley by at least 7 points in new NC Senate polls New polling released Monday shows North Carolina Democratic Senate candidate Roy Cooper leading Republican Michael Whatley by at least 7 points, weeks ahead of the November midterm elections. The Trafalgar Group’s polling showed Cooper’s lead at 48.8 percent, with Whatley behind at 40.9 percent. Polling also showed Cooper with larger support among different age demographics,…
Cooper leads Whatley by at least 7 points in new NC Senate polls New polling released Monday shows North Carolina Democratic Senate candidate Roy Cooper leading Republican Michael Whatley by at least 7 points, weeks ahead of the November midterm elections. The Trafalgar Group’s polling showed Cooper’s lead at 48.8 percent, with Whatley behind at 40.9 percent. Polling also showed Cooper with larger support among different age demographics,…
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC…
Why North Carolina is shifting Democratic Democrats have the wind at their backs in North Carolina, particularly in the race for Senate, where former Gov. Roy Cooper, a Democrat, is up against Republican political operative Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.). Based on polling, nonpartisan ratings and campaign shifts, Cooper seems poised to win. A national Republican PAC…
Democratic Super PAC pulls down ads in North Carolina as Roy Cooper dominates Senate race polling A super PAC linked to Senate Democratic leadership is pulling down ads this week in North Carolina, including about $500,000 in TV advertising and roughly $50,000 in digital amid polls showing Senate candidate Roy Cooper (D) with a healthy lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a source familiar confirmed to The Hill. WinSenate, a super PAC…
Democratic Super PAC pulls down ads in North Carolina as Roy Cooper dominates Senate race polling A super PAC linked to Senate Democratic leadership is pulling down ads this week in North Carolina, including about $500,000 in TV advertising and roughly $50,000 in digital amid polls showing Senate candidate Roy Cooper (D) with a healthy lead over Republican Michael Whatley, a source familiar confirmed to The Hill. WinSenate, a super PAC…
NEW -- It looks like WIN SENATE, an arm of the Senate Dem super PAC, is pulling back in N.C., where Roy Cooper is up in the polls. • • They pulled ~$50k in digital ads and roughly $500K from TV.
How Roy Cooper became Democrats’ best chance to flip a Senate seat
Trump on the North Carolina Senate race and Michael Whatley: “He’s a great man, and I’m worried about him. I hope he wins.” • • Earlier today, Senate Republicans’ top campaign spending organization said it is pulling back in North Carolina and pouring money into Kansas.
My column from last month • • Sure enough, Rs cut NC loose today, 10/2 • • GOP operatives are already eyeing cutbacks in their spending against Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.), I’m told by well-placed party sources, and by October may have to cede North Carolina entirely and hand over a Republican-held seat. Internal Republican polls show former Gov. Roy Cooper leading that race by double digits, a margin that can perhaps be halved but not erased. • •
National Republicans are starting to make major moves to divert resources away from North Carolina Senate race where GOP candidate Michael Whatley has trailed in polls. • Senate Leadership Fund, the top Republican super PAC in Senate contests, is putting pause on ad spending in state, source tells @PatrickSvitek •
New polls have Democrats thinking big on Senate Recent polling showing Democrats performing strongly in Senate battlegrounds and more reliably red states is fueling optimism that the party could clinch both chambers in November. An AARP poll released Monday showed Democrat Roy Cooper leading Republican Michael Whatley by 11 percentage points in the North Carolina Senate race, while recent polls have shown…
New polls have Democrats thinking big on Senate Recent polling showing Democrats performing strongly in Senate battlegrounds and more reliably red states is fueling optimism that the party could clinch both chambers in November. An AARP poll released Monday showed Democrat Roy Cooper leading Republican Michael Whatley by 11 percentage points in the North Carolina Senate race, while recent polls have shown…
Cooper holds 11-point lead over Whatley in North Carolina Senate race: Poll Former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D) has a double-digit lead over his competitor, former Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Michael Whatley, in his state’s Senate race, according to a new poll. In the AARP poll, released Monday, 53 percent said they would “definitely” or “probably” back Cooper or leaned toward doing so in the…
Cooper holds 11-point lead over Whatley in North Carolina Senate race: Poll Former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D) has a double-digit lead over his competitor, former Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Michael Whatley, in his state’s Senate race, according to a new poll. In the AARP poll, released Monday, 53 percent said they would “definitely” or “probably” back Cooper or leaned toward doing so in the…
New AARP poll of North Carolina by Fabrizio Ward (R) and Impact Research (D): • • #NCSEN • Roy Cooper (D) 53 • Michael Whatley (R) 42 • Other/undecided 5 • • Trump net approval: -21 • • (Sept. 17-20; 1,115 LVs; +/-2.9%)
New AARP poll of North Carolina by Fabrizio Ward (R) and Impact Research (D): • • #NCSEN • Roy Cooper (D) 53 • Michael Whatley (R) 42 • Other/undecided 5 • • Trump net approval: -21 • • (Sept. 17-20; 1,115 LVs; +/-2.9%)
Roy Cooper, leading in N.C. Senate race, defends filibuster as a shield against “bad legislation.”
Live: The national view on the North Carolina Senate race is that the Republican nominee, Michael Whatley, is running out of time to show he can narrow the race before G.O.P.-aligned groups redirect their money to other states.
Nancy Mace: Republicans will ‘for SURE’ lose Senate race in North Carolina
“There will be a pulse until election day.” << top GOP strategist involved in Senate races says Michael Whatley isn’t being “left for dead,” but acknowledged, with others involved, that it’s not looking good in NC.
[UPDATE] GOP appears deeply worried about Senate race in N.C., a once-reliable state (first reported at 2026-09-23T09:00:37.188329100Z)
NC and GA fading >>> • • GOP operatives are already eyeing cutbacks in their spending against Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.), I’m told by well-placed party sources, and by October may have to cede North Carolina entirely and hand over a Republican-held seat. Internal Republican polls show former Gov. Roy Cooper leading that race by double digits, a margin that can perhaps be halved but not erased. • • In both Southern states, Republican officials increasingly believe they’re wasting their money, and it would be better spent on flipping Democratic Senate seats in Michigan and New Hampshire, where their candidates are stronger and Democrats are more vulnerable. • • Fittingly. Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) hosted a fundraiser at a private home in Dallas Monday night, featuring former president George W. Bush, that included Rogers and John Sununu — the GOP nominees in Michigan and New Hampshire — but not the party’s nominees in North Carolina and Georgia.
Trump won North Carolina by roughly 3 points in 2024. Now, as he campaigns for Michael Whatley, Elon pollster Jason Husser says the voters who helped deliver that victory are expressing economic concerns. • • “Trump won by roughly three points in ’24, largely because those independents decided that he was going to be better at handling the economy than Harris,” Husser said. “But he’s disappointed them.”
Trump heads to North Carolina today to campaign for Michael Whatley, but the latest Elon poll shows a challenge for the GOP nominee: • • 28% of voters who say they backed Trump in 2024 are either supporting Roy Cooper or undecided, according to Elon University polling.<br... Trump heads to North Carolina today to campaign for Michael Whatley, but the latest Elon poll shows a challenge for the GOP nominee: • • 28% of voters who say they backed Trump in 2024 are either supporting Roy Cooper or undecided, according to Elon University polling. • • By comparison, Cooper has 93% of Harris voters
Trump heads to North Carolina today to campaign for Michael Whatley, but the latest Elon poll shows a challenge for the GOP nominee: • • 28% of voters who say they backed Trump in 2024 are either supporting Roy Cooper or undecided, according to Elon University polling.<br... Trump heads to North Carolina today to campaign for Michael Whatley, but the latest Elon poll shows a challenge for the GOP nominee: • • 28% of voters who say they backed Trump in 2024 are either supporting Roy Cooper or undecided, according to Elon University polling. • • By comparison, Cooper has 93% of Harris voters
Live: Trump to campaign in North Carolina rally with his handpicked Senate nominee Michael Whatley
Trump to campaign in North Carolina rally with his handpicked Senate nominee Michael Whatley
A new ECU poll shows North Carolina US Senate Democratic nominee Roy Cooper with a 7-point edge over GOP nominee Michael Whatley
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm North Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.