How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?Below 4.73%
ResolvedOutcome: No$27Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NY bonds continue to fall; 10-year Treasury yield at 5.02% amid expectations of further Fed interest rate hikes.
U.S. 10-year Treasury bond hovers just below 'psychological threshold' of 5%
NY bonds continue to fall; 10-year Treasury yield falls to 4.84%, briefly reaching a 2-year and 10-month high, due to dissatisfaction with the US Treasury's buyback.
Where does the news lean?
0YES7NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Related markets
See all outcomes for How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.