California Governor Election WinnerSteve Hilton
Open$2.7Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Democrat Xavier Becerra leads Republican Steve Hilton 49%-41% in California governor race, poll finds
Xavier Becerra leads with 55% of the vote intention for governor of California, compared to 37% for Republican Steve Hilton, according to a Berkeley poll. #teleSUR #USA #California #Latinos #Aug13
Xavier Becerra holds 18-point lead over Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Steve Hilton: British strategist becomes unlikely frontrunner for California governor
NOPolymarket99%match87¢+9%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport California Governor Election winner: Eric Swalwell - 50% Matt Mahan - 17% Steve Hilton - 13% Tom Steyer - 10% >
YESOverton99%match4¢+25%
California Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is blowing the whistle on Newsom’s $57 billion fraud scheme. It’s not just talk. He’s launching a statewide reporting site to expose every dollar of government corruption the Democrats tried to bury. HILTON: “We’ve…
Where does the news lean?
8YES4NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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See all outcomes for California Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.