California Governor Election WinnerChad Bianco
Open$1.9Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESPolymarket99%match5¢-100%
[Replying to @IAPolls2022] @IAPolls2022 California Governor Election Winner: Eric Swalwell - 52% Matt Mahan - 20% Katie Porter - 6% Chad Bianco - 5% > CALIFORNIA POLL - Governor (top two advance) Chad Bianco: 20% Steve Hilton: 12% Eric Swalwell: 10% Katie Porter: 9% Tom Steyer: 9% Xavier Becerra: 6% A. Villaraigosa: 3% Matt Mahan: 2% • Becerra (Dem) internal | 2/2-5 • Tavern Research | 1,097 LV |…
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Related markets
See all outcomes for California Governor Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.