California Governor Election Winner
Open45as of
Market pricing makes Xavier Becerra the favorite at 95% across 45 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
All further outcomes (15 more):
Michael Younger · Nicole Shanahan · Tom Steyer · Matt Mahan · Option F · Option H · Option J · Option L · Option N · Option P · Option R · Option T · Option V · Option X · Option Z
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Democrat Xavier Becerra leads Republican Steve Hilton 49%-41% in California governor race, poll finds
Democrat Xavier Becerra leads Republican Steve Hilton 49%-41% in California governor race, poll finds
Xavier Becerra’s lead over Steve Hilton shrinks in new California governor poll
Xavier Becerra’s lead over Steve Hilton shrinks in new California governor poll
Live: California election will determine Eric Swalwell’s temporary successor
Xavier Becerra leads with 55% of the vote intention for governor of California, compared to 37% for Republican Steve Hilton, according to a Berkeley poll. #teleSUR #USA #California #Latinos #Aug13
Xavier Becerra leads with 55% of the vote intention for governor of California, compared to 37% for Republican Steve Hilton, according to a Berkeley poll. #teleSUR #USA #California #Latinos #Aug13
Xavier Becerra holds 18-point lead over Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Xavier Becerra holds 18-point lead over Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Bombshell poll shows Steve Hilton leading Xavier Becerra in major California county
Bombshell poll shows Steve Hilton leading Xavier Becerra in major California county
Steve Hilton courts ‘abandoned’ Latino voters with promise to restore the California dream
Dem Katie Porter makes surprising announcement about political future
Steve Hilton gives brutal reality check to California gubernatorial rival
LIZ PEEK: Steve Hilton could pull off a California stunner if voters take the leap
Steve Hilton: British strategist becomes unlikely frontrunner for California governor
Will Xavier Becerra’s past come back to haunt him in California governor’s race?
Democrat Betty Yee drops out of crowded California governor's race
Eric Swalwell Thought He Was Untouchable — Until He Wasn’t • • from the best crew out there
California political insiders ‘should feel dirty and disgusted’ for blindly supporting Eric Swalwell
DOJ opens investigation into Eric Swalwell over sexual assault allegations
Ex-Rep. Eric Swalwell facing Justice Department investigation over sexual assault allegations
Eric Swalwell rape allegations sparks new tip line for potential victims
Betty Yee surge incoming
Woman accuses Eric Swalwell of rape in 2018, reports it to authorities
Latest Eric Swalwell accuser alleges he drugged and raped her
Woman says Eric Swalwell drugged, raped and choked her: ‘I thought I died’
Woman says Eric Swalwell drugged, raped and choked her: 'I thought I died'
New accuser alleges Eric Swalwell drugged and raped her — SFChronicle
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.