Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd PlaceSPD
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$59Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party won the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament elections in Germany. The AfD came first with 38.2% of the vote. The Social Democratic Party (SPD) came second with 35.5% of the vote. ➔ In the election, the Left Party managed to enter the state parliament with 6.5%, and the Greens with 5.7%. In the State Parliament, which has 71 seats, the AfD is the party with the most members with 32 seats, while the SPD has 29 seats, and the Left Party and the Greens each have 5 seats.
The Left Party won 25.3% of the vote, followed by the Christian Democrats (CDU) with 19% and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) with 16%. The Social Democrats (SPD) won 12.1%.
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: AfD pulls away from SPD – CDU, according to ongoing count, now only at 4.8 percent
Poll for Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: AfD significantly extends its lead over SPD – CDU slips to its worst ever recorded level
Where does the news lean?
13YES8NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
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See all outcomes for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.