Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Odds jumped to 94% on Sep 20, 2026

OpenMoveSep 20, 2026, 16:36 UTC

Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? On Sep 20, 2026, 16:36 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 79.5¢ to 94¢ (+14.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from spiegel.de.

How did the odds move?

At match79.5¢

+5m80¢

+30m81¢

+1h94¢

1h move+14.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesspiegel.de95%match

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: AfD wins according to wiretap calculations, SPD close behind (copy)

Sep 20, 2026, 16:35 UTC

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 93% chance that this market resolves YES, as of Sep 20, 2026, 17:43 UTC.

YES93¢

NO7¢

Vol$57K

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Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.