French Socialist Primary: First Round WinnerSégolène Royal
ResolvedOutcome: No$4Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "The Socialist family is showing that it still knows how to organize a democratic consultation," congratulates Arthur Delaporte, spokesperson for the Socialist Party.
Left-wing primary: "It's the intern who won," Ségolène Royal takes another swipe at Raphaël Glucksmann after his victory
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "The intern won the primary, unfortunately," reacted Ségolène Royal, the defeated candidate, to Franceinfo
A majority emerged in the first round. Raphaël Glucksmann convinced a majority of voters, and I respect the democratic process of the primary, which I initiated, too much not to accept it wisely. He is now the elected candidate of the three parties associated in this primary.
"Very disappointed" by her defeat in the Social Democratic primary, Ségolène Royal assures that she "will help to unite the left"
Social Democratic primary: Ségolène Royal "very disappointed" by Raphaël Glucksmann's victory
"Nothing is won yet": Raphaël Glucksmann reacts to his victory in the first round of the Social Democratic primary
"Nothing is won yet": Raphaël Glucksmann reacts to his victory in the first round of the Social Democratic primary
Where does the news lean?
0YES9NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
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