Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Saudi Arabia
Open$62Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Assaf Rosenzweig
New York Times report: Trump decided to separate the agreement to establish a civilian nuclear facility in Saudi Arabia from the condition that it recognize the State of Israel and normalize relations with it. This idea was at the heart of the Biden administration's plans, but since the October 7 massacre, it has waned.
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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See all outcomes for Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.