Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)Takaichi - Japan PM
ResolvedOutcome: No$202Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Prime Minister Takaichi: "To take Japan-India relations to even greater heights" - Returning home after her first visit to India.
Calls for extending the parliamentary session are growing stronger to pass bills to reduce the number of seats and cabinet legislation; the Takaichi administration remains defiant despite opposition parties' boycott of deliberations.
Prime Minister Takaichi met with Indian Prime Minister Modi, confirming strengthened cooperation on economic security and a "2 trillion yen investment," stating, "Together with my 'older brother' Prime Minister Modi, we will reach new heights."
Prime Minister Takaichi visits India and meets with Prime Minister Modi, agreeing to strengthen economic and defense cooperation.
Prime Minister Takaichi meets with Indian Prime Minister Modi; semiconductors, rare earth elements, and other topics discussed.
Prime Minister Takaichi to meet with Indian Prime Minister Modi to confirm the importance of economic security and announce a 2 trillion yen investment.
Prime Minister Takaichi to meet with Indian Prime Minister Modi to confirm cooperation on important minerals and semiconductors, and discuss deepening cooperation with an eye on China.
Prime Minister Takaichi will meet with Indian Prime Minister Modi this afternoon to confirm concrete cooperation in areas such as economic security.
Japan vows to boost investment in Takaichi’s first policy blueprint
Rare earth elements off the coast of Minamitorishima Island to be demonstrated on an industrial scale in FY2027; Prime Minister Takaichi to issue instructions
Rare earth element harvesting off Minamitorishima Island to be demonstrated on an industrial scale in 2027; Prime Minister Takaichi to issue instructions.
Prime Minister Takaichi requests amendments to the "secondary capital" bill from Ishin no Kai leader Yoshimura; the government confirms its intention to pass all three bills in the current Diet session.
Prime Minister Takaichi: "I highly value the idea of a secondary capital." She expresses her intention to pass the bill during the current Diet session.
Where does the news lean?
2YES18NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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