Iran leader end of 2026?Sadegh Larijani

OpenVol$543KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOiranintl96%match100¢
Sadegh Amoli Larijani, head of the Expediency Discernment Council, said the Islamic Republic will not back down from its position on the Strait of Hormuz "at any cost" and considered the sovereignty of this waterway to belong to the Islamic Republic. He conditioned free navigation in the Strait of Hormuz on the implementation of the "terms of the memorandum of understanding" and said that the waterway will not return to its previous conditions. Amoli Larijani also called for maintaining unanimity in the structure of the Islamic Republic around Mojtaba Khamenei, the leader of the Islamic Republic, and said that any divisive statements are "a mistake" and that officials must prevent differences in speech and action.
Minister of Roads: The Haram-e-Taharam Freeway will be decorated with the name of "Martyr Leader" Farzaneh Sadegh said at the inauguration ceremony of a section of the Haram-to-Haram freeway between Garmsar and Semnan: The Haram-to-Haram freeway, as part of the Sarakhs-to-Mehran corridor, will be named after the martyred leader, Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei. The martyred leader, as well as martyr Dr. Ali Larijani, always emphasized the completion of rail and road corridors, and this issue is also one of the emphases of the Supreme Leader of the Revolution. @YjcNewsChannel
NOIran State News Agency98%match100¢
Minister of Roads: The Haram-e-Taharam Freeway will be decorated with the name of "Martyr Leader" Farzaneh Sadegh said at the inauguration ceremony of a section of the Haram-to-Haram freeway between Garmsar and Semnan: The Haram-to-Haram freeway, as part of the Sarakhs-to-Mehran corridor, will be named after the martyred leader, Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei. The martyred leader, as well as martyr Dr. Ali Larijani, always emphasized the completion of rail and road corridors, and this issue is also one of the emphases of the Supreme Leader of the Revolution. News link Follow IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | Jahan @IRNA_1313
NOIran Semi-Official Tasnim99%match96¢+4%
Ayatollah Nouri Hamedani's condolence message following the martyrdom of Dr. Larijani Shiite authority: Ayatollah Mr. Haj Sheikh Sadegh Amoli Larijani; I congratulate and offer my condolences on the martyrdom of the respected scientist Mr. Dr. Ali Larijani and his beloved son to His Excellency and all his associates and the honorable nation of Islamic Iran. The loss of a distinguished personality like this dear martyr is a great loss for our society. He had combined religion and politics, reason, knowledge and action, calmness in speech and moderation in behavior, and many successful experiences in various positions during the Islamic Republic era, from his presence in the Revolutionary Guard Corps to the Ministry of Guidance and the Presidency of the Iranian Broadcasting Corporation, and three terms of managing the parliament to the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, which led to his being introduced as a popular and honest politician. He never surrendered to events, was patient in the face of unkindness, and considered performing religious duties as the criterion for his work everywhere. I believe that he received the reward for all these services from his God and was martyred at the hands of the most wicked people, and God willing, his path will be continued with strength and power by dear youth. @TasnimNews
NOIran Semi-Official Fars99%match96¢+4%
Ayatollah Nouri Hamedani's condolence message following the martyrdom of Dr. Larijani Ayatollah Mr. Haj Sheikh Sadegh Amoli Larijani; I congratulate and offer my condolences on the martyrdom of the respected scientist Mr. Dr. Ali Larijani and his dear son to His Excellency and all his associates and the noble nation of Islamic Iran. The loss of a distinguished personality like this dear martyr is a great loss for our society. He had combined religion and politics, reason, knowledge and action, calmness in speech and moderation in behavior, and many successful experiences in various positions during the Islamic Republic era, from his presence in the Revolutionary Guard Corps to the Ministry of Guidance and the Presidency of the Iranian Broadcasting Corporation, and three terms of managing the parliament to the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, which led to his being introduced as a popular and honest politician. He never surrendered to events, was patient in the face of unkindness, and considered performing religious duties as the criterion for his work everywhere. I believe that he received the reward for all these services from his God and was martyred at the hands of the most wicked people, and God willing, his path will be continued with strength and power by dear youth. @Farsna - Link
YESIran Semi-Official SNN99%match3¢-100%
Message from the Head of the Judiciary following the martyrdom of the Mujahideen scientist Dr. Ali Larijani In the name of Allah, the Merciful And those who are killed in the way of Allah are not counted as dead, but they are alive with their Lord. I congratulate and condole the martyrdom of the sincere and caring servant of the Islamic Revolution, scholar Mujahid, Dr. Ali Larijani, Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, along with his son and his companions, from the Zionist American enemy. This high-ranking martyr, who was always among the trusted and trusted forces of the revolutionary martyr leader, finally received the reward for his long-term struggles in various trenches of serving the people from the Almighty God by drinking the sweet nectar of martyrdom. The outstanding characteristics of this dear martyr were his high managerial and decision-making ability, courage and eloquence in speech and expression, a strong determination to serve the people, and dedication and steadfastness in the path of the ideals and values of the Islamic Revolution. We are confident that the brave armed forces of Islamic Iran, backed by the popular support we are witnessing today throughout the country, will avenge the pure blood of this dear martyr and other high-ranking martyrs of Islamic Iran from the most evil villains, criminal America, and the savage Zionist regime. I once again congratulate and condole the martyrdom of Dr. Ali Larijani to the great people of Islamic Iran, colleagues and relatives, the honorable family and dear brothers of that high-ranking martyr, especially Ayatollah Sadegh Amoli Larijani, the head of the Expediency Recognition Council, and I ask God for patience and great reward for them. Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei Get the latest news: Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv

Where does the news lean?

2YES5NO5neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

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