South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerRussell Fry
ResolvedOutcome: No$287Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
23 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Rep. Russell Fry reacts to Darline Graham’s primary win
Russell Fry endorses ex-rival Darline Graham after failing to advance to special GOP US Senate primary runoff
Live: GOP Rep. Russell Fry endorses Sen. Darline Graham in special S.C. Senate election
Live: Russell Fry backs Darline Graham for Senate in South Carolina
Rep. Russell Fry, who lost in the first round of the Senate GOP's SC primary, endorses Sen. Darline Graham over Rep. Ralph Norman in the runoff • • "Darline knows what it means to struggle, persevere, and keep fighting when life deals you a difficult hand. Those experiences shaped her, and I believe they give her a real understanding of the challenges families across South Carolina face. • • On August 25, I’m asking everyone who supported our campaign to join me in supporting Darline Graham for the United States Senate"
After pressure from Trump, Russell Fry has just endorsed recent opponent Darline Graham in the runoff election against Ralph Norman. Read about the intra-MAGA fight in this special election:
Live: Russell Fry says his Senate bid "ran out of runway"
Live: In the contest for the second runoff spot in the South Carolina Senate race, Representative Ralph Norman’s margin over Representative Russell Fry has been growing as votes have been coming in from the state’s conservative upstate region.
Great @ELaserDavies story on how Trump pivoted from his plan to endorse Russell Fry — a loyal congressman — and instead backed Darline Graham in South Carolina. • •
Republican Russell Fry Launches a Bid for Lindsey Graham’s Senate Seat
Russell Fry jumps into the special GOP primary to replace Lindsey Graham on the November ballot.
GOP Rep. Russell Fry jumps into South Carolina Senate race
User’s Manual to a Very Crowded GOP Primary to Succeed Late GOP SC Sen Lindsey Graham • • It could be a crowded snap South Carolina Senate Republican primary on August 11 to prospectively succeed late Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC). • • The filing period opening tomorrow and closes on July 28. • • Rep. Russell Fry (R-SC), who was saluted recently by President Trump, announced his bid this morning. • • Rep. Ralph Norman (R-SC) says he is running. • • Also potentially in the mix: Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) and former South Carolina Governor and Rep. Mark Sanford (R-SC). • • What is unclear right now is whether Sen. Darline Graham (R-SC) would run for the full term to succeed her late brother. President Trump has encouraged her to run. • • And apparently, his backing of the new senator has not necessarily cleared the field, if she does elect to run. • • Norman has indicated he will run no matter what Graham does, despite the President’s support for Graham. We don’t know about what Graham’s decision could mean for Fry or other possible candidates.
Rep. Russell Fry is running for Senate.
Rep. Russell Fry jumps into the South Carolina Senate Republican primary after Trump preemptively endorses Darline Graham, who hasn’t yet announced whether she’ll seek a full term.
GOP Rep. Russell Fry jumps into South Carolina Senate race
South Carolina GOP Rep. Russell Fry announces an #SCSEN campaign, as we wait to see whether Darline Graham follows Trump’s advice to seek the full term:
Russell Fry officially hopping into the Senate race.
South Carolina GOP Rep. Russell Fry announces an #SCSEN campaign, as we wait to see whether Darline Graham’s follows Trump’s advice to seek the full term:
NRSC Chair Sen. Tim Scott on President Trump privately conveying interest in backing Rep. Russell Fry (R-SC) in South Carolina’s special Republican Senate primary: • • “The president's enthusiasm around Russell Fry probably is no surprise to anybody, but I have not seen and heard of an endorsement yet coming out of the White House.” • • @CBSNews @MariaESullivan
President Trump has privately conveyed interest in backing US Rep. Russell Fry (R-SC) in South Carolina’s special Republican Senate primary, two sources familiar with the discussions confirm to me. The Wall Street Journal was first to report. @CBSNews
Live: Russell Fry moves toward South Carolina Senate run
President Trump has privately expressed interest in backing Rep. Russell Fry of South Carolina in the special GOP primary, according to people familiar with the matter. @meridithmcgraw
Where does the news lean?
21YES14NO21neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.