South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary WinnerAndré Bauer
ResolvedOutcome: No$1Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Ralph Norman advances in South Carolina senate Republican runoff
Live: Rep. Ralph Norman projected to win special South Carolina Senate GOP primary
New Emerson poll of #SCSEN special Republican primary:
Nine candidates have been certified for the #SCSEN special Republican primary, per the state GOP and Election Commission: Duke Buckner, Russell Fry, Darline Graham, Mark Lynch, Mark McBride, Ralph Norman, Glenda Gail Parker, Mark Sanford and Samuel Sam Shepherd
Live: Mark Sanford launches Senate bid in South Carolina special election
Where does the news lean?
0YES8NO19neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the special Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina, including any potential runoff.
If no 2026 special South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the candidate who is the official Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election.
If the results of the special primary are not definitively known, or if there is no Republican nominee to contest the November 3, 2026 South Carolina U.S. Senate election, by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.