French Socialist Primary: First Round WinnerRaphaël Glucksmann
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$17Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
51 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Eurodeputy Raphael Glucksmann was on Sunday elected the centre-left candidate for next year's French presidential elections, winning comfortably in the first round, organizers of the vote said. • •
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: Marlène Schiappa calls on the winning candidate to form a coalition
LIVE
Social Democratic primary: Raphaël Glucksmann hit with flour as he left the venue where he celebrated his victory
Socialist Party primary - Place Publique: Raphaël Glucksmann covered in flour after his victory
As in all of French society, violence has no place in politics. There is no such thing as a minor aggression, no physical attack that is insignificant. Support for Raphaël Glucksmann, victim of unacceptable violence this evening in Paris after his victory in the left-wing primary.
LIVE
"What a surprise!": François Ruffin, who was not admitted to the Social Democratic primary, mocks Raphaël Glucksmann's victory
Socialist Party primary – Public Square: Raphaël Glucksmann covered in flour after his victory
Live: And here's the latest news of the day: #PRESIDENTIAL The leader of Place Publique, Raphaël Glucksmann, was widely designated as the social-democratic left's candidate for the presidential election, right from the first round...
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "The Socialist family is showing that it still knows how to organize a democratic consultation," congratulates Arthur Delaporte, spokesperson for the Socialist Party.
Raphaël Glucksmann overwhelmingly elected as the social-democratic left-wing candidate for the presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann covered in flour after his victory in the left-wing primary
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "I'm glad I participated in this primary," says losing candidate Jérôme Guedj
Raphaël Glucksmann was pelted with flour as he left the venue where he was celebrating his victory in the Social Democratic primary.
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "Mr. Glucksmann is an opponent. Jean-Luc Mélenchon is a danger," declares Robert Ménard, the center-right mayor of Béziers.
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL Raphaël Glucksmann was flour-bombed as he left the cafe where he was celebrating his victory in the first round of the social-democratic primary, according to information from the political department of France Télévisions.
Live: "What a surprise!": François Ruffin, who was not admitted to the Social Democratic primary, makes light of Raphaël Glucksmann's victory
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "From now on, not a second can be wasted," the presidential candidate tells his supporters
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "We are the force for change," declares the presidential candidate
LIVE
Socialist Party/Public Square Primary: Raphaël Glucksmann asserts, after his victory, that "the democratic left is back"
"Tonight, the battle for France begins!": Raphaël Glucksmann's resounding victory in the primary
Raphaël Glucksmann, winner of the Social Democratic primary, reunites with one of his supporters, Yannick Jadot
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "The right should be able to do the same," declares David Lisnard, presidential candidate (New Energy), on X.
Left-wing primary: "It's the intern who won," Ségolène Royal takes another swipe at Raphaël Glucksmann after his victory
Left-wing primary: after his victory, Hollande congratulates Glucksmann, who extends an olive branch to him with a view to the presidential election
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "The intern won the primary, unfortunately," reacted Ségolène Royal, the defeated candidate, to Franceinfo
Social Democratic primary: Olivier Faure accepts Raphaël Glucksmann's victory "with wisdom"
A majority emerged in the first round. Raphaël Glucksmann convinced a majority of voters, and I respect the democratic process of the primary, which I initiated, too much not to accept it wisely. He is now the elected candidate of the three parties associated in this primary.
Raphael Glucksmann elected centre-left French presidential candidate
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the left-wing primary: "I am very happy for my socialist family," declares Boris Vallaud, Socialist MP for Landes. "There is momentum, there is strength," continues Glucksmann's supporter. #canal16 #franceinfo
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the reaction of Boris Vallaud, president of the Socialist group in the National Assembly and supporter of the winner
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the left-wing primary: "A very clear majority," disappointment... Immediate reactions
MEP Glucksmann wins French center-left primary, becoming candidate for presidency
Left-wing primary: Faure praises Glucksmann for "knowing how to convince", Royal calls for a "rallying of the left", Tondelier notes the "choice of retreat"
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: former President François Hollande congratulated the winner via message
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory: Marine Tondelier laments that the winner of the Social Democratic primary is "the one who chooses isolationism"
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory: Marine Tondelier laments that the winner of the social-democratic primary is "the one who chooses isolationism"
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the moment he reveals the results to his team
Live: Footage of the moment Raphaël Glucksmann learned he had won the Social Democratic primary
"We now have a candidate": after Raphaël Glucksmann's victory, Olivier Faure calls for "forging this spirit of victory together"
"We now have a candidate": after Raphaël Glucksmann's victory, Olivier Faure calls for "forging this spirit of victory together"
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the reaction of Boris Vallaud, president of the Socialist group in the National Assembly and supporter of the winner
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: "We have a dignified and credible left embodied" by the winner, declares Jérôme Guedj
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the reaction of Marine Tondelier, the Green Party candidate for the presidential election
LIVE
"We now have a candidate": Olivier Faure, who came in second in the primary, congratulates Raphaël Glucksmann
Raphaël Glucksmann's victory in the Social Democratic primary: the "family photo" of the candidates surrounding the winning candidate
LIVE. "We now have a candidate": Olivier Faure, who came in second in the primary, congratulates Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: "We now have a candidate": Olivier Faure, who came second in the primary, congratulates Raphaël Glucksmann
Social Democratic primary: Ségolène Royal "very disappointed" by Raphaël Glucksmann's victory
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: "Marine Le Pen will not be in the Élysée Palace in May 2027," declares the winning candidate
Raphaël Glucksmann wins the Social Democratic primary: the Place Publique candidate arrives to cheers in Paris's 20th arrondissement
"Nothing is won yet": Raphaël Glucksmann reacts to his victory in the first round of the Social Democratic primary
Where does the news lean?
71YES1NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
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