Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Open$618Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 98% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES98¢
NO2¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The US midterm elections will be held on November 3rd. A look at five major issues including the economy and AI.
YESPolymarket99%match90¢+9%
JUST IN: The odds of the U.S. Midterm Elections occurring as scheduled have fallen to 90%.
Where does the news lean?
2YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.