Socialist Party of France Presidential NomineeRaphael Glucksmann
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$45Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Eurodeputy Raphael Glucksmann was on Sunday elected the centre-left candidate for next year's French presidential elections, winning comfortably in the first round, organizers of the vote said. • •
Raphael Glucksmann elected centre-left French presidential candidate
Commentator turned politician Raphael Glucksmann was on Sunday expected to announce his candidacy for France's presidential election next year, entering a field that is crowded even just within his left-wing spectrum. •
Where does the news lean?
4YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 71% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.