Socialist Party of France Presidential NomineeJérôme Guedj
Open$908as of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
2027 Presidential Election: Raphaël Glucksmann (Place publique) enters the race by participating in a primary with the Socialist Party
Raphaël Glucksmann announces his candidacy for the presidential election as part of the primary organized with the Socialist Party
Live: Raphaël Glucksmann will participate in the Socialist Party primary
Where does the news lean?
4YES7NO7neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 71% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.