Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
Open49as of
Market pricing makes Raphael Glucksmann the favorite at 70% across 49 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Live: It's 4 PM, here's a news update: • #POLITICS The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, announced to the members of his parliamentary group his candidacy for the left-wing primary...
Presidential election 2027: Olivier Faure a candidate in the primary organized by the Socialist Party and Place Publique
2027: "I do not support Olivier Faure's strategy, which I consider a losing one for the presidential election," states Laurence Rossignol, Socialist Party senator.
Olivier Faure, candidate in the left-wing primary
Presidential election 2027: the first secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will be a candidate in the left-wing primary
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election: Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
BREAKING NEWS
Presidential election: Olivier Faure will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary ahead of 2027
Presidential election 2027: The First Secretary of the Socialist Party, Olivier Faure, will run in the left-wing primary
Live: Olivier Faure, First Secretary of the Socialist Party, will announce his candidacy for the left-wing primary in preparation for 2027
Live: #POLITICS The Socialist Party's first secretary is expected to officially announce his presidential candidacy today at the party's summer school in Blois (Loir-et-Cher), according to information from France Télécom...
"The central bloc is going to collapse": in Blois, Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure takes another step towards the primary
"Another future is possible": In Blois, Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure takes another step towards the primary
"Another future is possible": in Blois, Socialist Party leader Olivier Faure takes another step towards the primary
Live: Bernard Cazeneuve calls for a "coalition of committed individuals" outside the Socialist Party primary, to prevent a National Rally victory
François Hollande rules out any participation in the Socialist primary: "His choice is respectable," declares Jérôme Guedj, MP (Socialists and affiliated members)
Presidential election: Boris Vallaud, head of the Socialist Party in the National Assembly, announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election: Socialist Party MP Boris Vallaud announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election: Socialist Party MP Boris Vallaud announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Presidential election 2027: Socialist Party MP Boris Vallaud announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: Socialist MP Boris Vallaud announces his support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: #PRESIDENTIAL "He is the best candidate on the left." The president of the Occitanie region, Carole Delga, has officially announced her support for Raphaël Glucksmann...
"He is the best candidate on the left to win": Socialist Carole Delga officially announces her support for Raphaël Glucksmann in the presidential election
LIVE
"There needs to be a deluge": Jérôme Guedj invites "all the orphans of the republican left" to vote in the Socialist primary
Live: "There needs to be a deluge": Jérôme Guedj invites "all the orphans of the republican left" to vote in the socialist primary
"The best left-wing candidate to win": Carole Delga confirms her support for Raphaël Glucksmann
LIVE
"He's the best candidate on the left": Carole Delga announces her support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: "He's the best candidate on the left": Carole Delga announces her support for Raphaël Glucksmann
Live: Karim Bouamrane confirms his non-participation in the Socialist primary for the 2027 presidential election
What is this event about?
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.